New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | NISSINOFF Alexandra | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 2 | LEE Lavender | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | ORVANANOS Anice | V V V D D V | V V V V D | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| 3 | LIU Jaelyn A. | V D V V V V | V V V D | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| 5 | AMR HOSSNY Sara | V V V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 6 | MI Aileen | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 7 | ZHENG Julie | V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 8 | CALISE Ella | V V D V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 9 | CHEN Renee | V V V V V V | V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 10 | WILLIS Fletcher L. | V V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 11 | CASCONE Emily | V V V D V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 12 | MCSHERRY Ava | V V V D V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 13 | CHOW Annabelle | D V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 14 | TRACZ Calleigh D. | D V V V V D | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 15 | WANG Jasmine | D V V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 16 | DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) | D V D V V D | V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 17 | PEVZNER Nicole | V V D V V V | D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 18 | YANG Iris | V D V V V | D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 19 | YU Jane | V V V D V | V D | 1.2 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 20 | SHA Yi Ling | V D D V V V | V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 21 | SIMONOV Dasha | D V V V D | V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 22 | HOU Wendong | V V V D D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 23 | SHIM Grace | V V D V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 24 | WANG Jolie Z. | D V V D V | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 25 | YURKOVA Mariia | D V V D D V | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 26 | FIELD Julianna | D D D V V | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 27 | YANG Lingting | V D V D D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 28 | ZELDIN Nadia | V D V D D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 29 | LEVY Avery | V D D V D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 30 | HAO Danica | D D V D V | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 31 | SMIDA Julia | D V D D V | V D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 32 | PAULUS Sloane | D D D V D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 33 | POPOVA Polina | D D V V V D | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 34 | PAULUS Isabella | D V D D V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 35 | WANG Reese | D V D V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 36 | LI Eleanor | V D D V D | D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 37 | LAO Sophia | V D D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 38 | WANG Rachael | V D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 39 | SONPAL Vivian | D D D V D V | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 40 | SHENG Katherine | D D V D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 41 | GREENLEAF Ella | D D D D D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 42 | KUMAR Ishana | D V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 43 | CHANG Victoria | V D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 44 | HWANG Chanel | D D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 45 | MCNULTY Avery | V D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 46 | HUBERT AVA CLAIRE | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 47 | SHI Sasha | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 48 | MURPHY Charlotte | D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 49 | LI Han | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 50 | POWLEDGE Cora | D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 51 | LI Beryl | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.