Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 11:30 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
2 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
3 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 100% 99% 83% 43% 9%
5 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
6 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
7 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 99% 81% 41% 9%
8 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
9 SU Emma 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
10 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
11 NATH Trisha 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
12 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
13 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
13 HASSANEIN Toqa 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
15 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
16 MARYASH Samantha 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
17 NGUYEN Ella 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
18 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28%
19 GRINBERG Aliya 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
20 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
21 WILSON Isley N. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
22 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
23 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
24 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
25 SINHA Anika 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
26 BILILIES Sophia 100% 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
27 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
28 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
29 CHIANG Emily 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
30 SADOVA Olga 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
31 PENG Florella 100% 100% 91% 64% 29% 6% -
32 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
33 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
34 NAYAK Esha 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
35 KHAN Alissa 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
36 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 100% 98% 74% 32% 5%
37 YEN Natalie 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
38 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
39 CHARLES Caitlin 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
40 JEONG Katie 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
40 FLATT Sophia 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
42 NAGORNAYA Uliana 100% 80% 18% 2% - -
43 NAYAK Indra 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
44 CRAINE Alexandra E. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
45 NAYAK Mira 100% 90% 49% 14% 2% - -
46 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
47 ZHIZHIN Jeanette 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
48 WOTZAK Kaia 100% 25% 3% - - - -
49 NAYAK Anika 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% - -
50 CHEN Celina Z. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
51 CUEVAS-LO My Ting 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
52 LAGOON Miriam 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
53 HORMEL Molly 100% 31% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.