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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 12:30 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
2 CHENG Logan 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
3 MO Ethan - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
3 REN Ryan 32% 43% 21% 4% < 1% -
5 XU Nathan 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
6 UNGERER Henry - 3% 17% 35% 33% 11%
7 TANG Royce - 5% 21% 40% 28% 6%
8 TOOMRE Kai - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
9 HOU Gaven - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
10 CHEN Hanson - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
11 WANG Ancen 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
12 HUANG Jinyao - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
13 YAVENDITTI William - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
14 BAS Jonathan - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
15 NOVIKOV Yann 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
16 CZARNECKI Thomas 1% 24% 42% 26% 7% 1%
17 MA Lucas 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
18 QIAN Zekai 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
19 YU Haochen 1% 9% 27% 36% 23% 5%
20 DOROKHIN Mikhail 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
21 KINGSLEY Griffin 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1%
22 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
23 SEVOSTYANOV Timofey 32% 43% 20% 5% - -
23 WEI Ruichen 48% 38% 12% 2% - -
25 PAULUS Gregory 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.