Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 4:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 BERMAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
3 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
3 CHIANG Melissa 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
5 BUSH Bethany 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
6 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
7 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
8 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
9 HU Anna 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
10 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
11 CHANG Elle 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
12 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
13 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
14 BUSH Divina 100% 100% 92% 64% 23% 3%
15 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
16 CHAVAN Arya 100% 79% 34% 8% 1% - -
17 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
18 LIU Yifei 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
19 BORGUETA Madison 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
20 VINOKUR Anita 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
21 HILD Anya 100% 60% 15% 1% - -
22 ENG Madeleine 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
23 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
24 GONG Joy 100% 92% 50% 13% 2% -
25 CASTELO Soleil 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1%
26 MARABELLA Grace 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
27 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
28 NGUYEN Viola 100% 98% 79% 37% 7% 1% -
29 FOSS Persephone 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4%
30 BROWN Piper 100% 47% 11% 1% - -
31 NGUYEN Matilda 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1%
32 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.