New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | LO Alexander | V V D V V | V V V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 3 | SHOMAN Noah | V V V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 3 | ZHENG Edward L. | V V V D D | V V V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 5 | SHOMAN Zachary | V V D V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 6 | MCCARTHY Gabriel | V V V D V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 7 | BABAYEV Gabriel A. | D V V V D | V V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 8 | MAKLIN Edward P. | D V V D D | V V V | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 9 | SAKHAMURI Surya | V V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 10 | KIM Shaun M. | V V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 11 | KOGAN Benjamin | V V V V D | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 12 | PANDEY Neil | V D V V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 13 | HUANG Alexander C. | V V D D V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 14 | RODE Leon J. | V D D V V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 15 | WU Wilmund | D D V V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 16 | CHTERENTAL Alex | D V V D V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 17 | HU Andrew | V D V V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 18 | WAXLER Seth B. | V V D V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 19 | WANG Robert | D V V V D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 20 | MOULTON Ian | V V D V D | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 21 | GOLDMAN Noah R. | D V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 22 | PIWOWAR Alex | D V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 23 | DOLAN Charles R. | D D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 24 | PENG Bryan | D V D V D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 25 | SPOSATO Andrew P. | D D V V D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 26 | KILGALLEN William | V D D D V | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 27 | MORALES Jonathan | D D D V V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 28 | HAN Daniel Y. | D V D D V | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 29 | LIU Mingyang Ryan | V D V D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 30 | LI Yao (Liam) | V D D V D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 31 | ZHUANG Rayken | D V D D D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 32 | SMINK Oliver | D D D D D | V D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 33 | ANGKATAVANICH Owen | V D V V D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 34 | GONG Jerry | V V V D D | D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 35 | PERRON Robert | D V D D V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 36 | KESSLER Josh | V D D V D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 37 | HUANG Tom | V D D D V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 38 | BELEV Nicholas | D D V V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 39 | DOLSKI Jack | V D V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 40 | GREENE Alexander J. | D D D D V | D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 41 | TASIKAS Stylianos | D D D D V | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 42 | ALFARO Lucas | D D V D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 43 | LEONARD Charles | D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 44 | MCCARTHY Devan | V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 45 | WRIGHT Zachary | D D V D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 46 | DESAUTELS Connor | D D V D D | D | 0.2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| 47 | CELLA Zev | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 48 | KUMAR Shivai | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.