American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Event Center at Valley Forge - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
2 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
3 DANK Dina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 HASSANEIN Toqa 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
5 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
6 WANG Jianning 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5%
7 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
8 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
9 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
10 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 100% 99% 82% 39% 7%
11 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
12 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
13 HE Lizbeth 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
14 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
15 MCKEE Ainsley 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
16 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
17 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 11%
18 JENKINS Scotland 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
19 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
20 CHEN Jessica 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
21 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 95% 58% 17% 2%
22 WU Helen 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
23 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
24 ZENG Megan 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
25 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
26 LI Angela 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
27 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
28 NAYAK Anika 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
29 NAYAK Esha 100% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
30 CHARLES Caitlin 100% 82% 31% 5% - -
31 ZHENG Valentina 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
32 MESSICK Maya 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
33 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
34 FLATT Sophia 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
35 REN Xinling 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
36 YEN Natalie 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
37 KUANG TongFei 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
38 ALANGAD Rhea 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
39 DEANGELO Annabelle 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
40 BAWA Anahat 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
41 HORMEL Molly 100% 58% 6% - - -
42 DUBETSKY Ashley 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
43 CALISTRI Ava 100% 41% 5% - - -
44 AGARWALA Armanii K. 100% 57% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.