American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Event Center at Valley Forge - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 40%
5 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 25%
6 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 13%
7 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
8 GULCHIN Mark 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 18%
9 CHENG Logan 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% < 1%
10 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 38%
11 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
12 TANG Terry 100% 100% 99% 88% 46% 9%
13 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
14 HONG Logan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
15 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 97% 70% 23% 3%
16 KELKAR Aakash 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
17 ZHANG Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
18 MARTIRE Luca 100% 92% 55% 17% 3% -
19 DOELL Ethan 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
20 CHO Xzander 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
21 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
22 WEI JR Shan 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
23 LEE Charles T 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
24 TANG Royce 100% 97% 80% 41% 10% 1%
25 LU Nathan 100% 100% 93% 50% 11% 1%
26 CHEN Hanson 100% 99% 83% 33% 5% -
27 MCGILLION-MOORE Charles 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
28 SICAT Justin 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
29 O'LEARY Colin 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1%
30 SHAW eric 100% 60% 10% - - -
31 HUANG Jinyao 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
32 BLACK Henry 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
33 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 40% 4% - - -
34 SMALL Zachary 100% 61% 11% 1% - -
35 MELE Luca 100% 96% 49% 12% 1% -
35 COSSROW Alex 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
35 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 75% 13% 1% - -
38 GANGL Phillip 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.