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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Virginia Tech Open 2021

Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PETERS Nathan M. - - - 2% 17% 53% 29%
2 ROUNTREE Rob 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
3 YOUMANS Garrett R. - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
3 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
5 CHENG Vinton - - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13%
6 DAVIS Mitchell - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
7 BOGART Drake R. - - - 5% 32% 63%
8 SHEYNKMAN Leon 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
9 SNIVELY Mark C. 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% < 1%
10 HAYES Nathan P. - - 2% 15% 44% 40%
11 PAQUETTE Emily - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
12 BERNABE Rafael - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
13 SEMP Iain 1% 6% 27% 44% 20% 3% -
14 SEMP Brannon A. 5% 26% 42% 23% 4% -
15 ISAACSON Bjorn 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
16 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 2% 19% 45% 27% 6% -
17 JOHNSON Alex - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
18 KASPER Lucia 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
19 AZIZI Zahl - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
20 HARTMAN Grayson 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
21 MOELLER Virginia 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% -
22 SHANKS Aidan T. 3% 40% 42% 14% 2% -
23 VERGARA Jaden Reese 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
24 MORRIS Luke 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
25 ROBBINS Maria 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
26 DAVIS Rowan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
27 DUCK Parker 1% 13% 43% 35% 8% - -
28 FISCHMAN Margaret 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
28 UHRICH Reese 7% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
30 SPENCER Luuk 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
31 HURD Jarrett 3% 21% 41% 28% 6% -
32 REEDER Nicholas W. 1% 11% 36% 41% 11% -
33 DOLLINGS Taryn 24% 42% 26% 8% 1% -
34 STELMACH Kamil 9% 34% 40% 15% 2% -
35 TREADWAY Ella 26% 54% 18% 2% - - -
36 WATTS Jason 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
37 WATERMAN Andie 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
38 SHANKS Jennifer 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.