Virginia Tech Open 2021

Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 29%
2 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
3 YOUMANS Garrett R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
3 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
5 CHENG Vinton 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
6 DAVIS Mitchell 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
7 BOGART Drake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
8 SHEYNKMAN Leon 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
9 SNIVELY Mark C. 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% < 1%
10 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
11 PAQUETTE Emily 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
12 BERNABE Rafael 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
13 SEMP Iain 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% 3% -
14 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
15 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
16 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 98% 79% 33% 6% -
17 JOHNSON Alex 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
18 KASPER Lucia 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
19 AZIZI Zahl 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
20 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
21 MOELLER Virginia 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% -
22 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 97% 57% 15% 2% -
23 VERGARA Jaden Reese 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
24 MORRIS Luke 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
25 ROBBINS Maria 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
26 DAVIS Rowan 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
27 DUCK Parker 100% 99% 87% 44% 9% - -
28 FISCHMAN Margaret 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
28 UHRICH Reese 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
30 SPENCER Luuk 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
31 HURD Jarrett 100% 97% 75% 34% 6% -
32 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 99% 88% 52% 11% -
33 DOLLINGS Taryn 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
34 STELMACH Kamil 100% 91% 57% 17% 2% -
35 TREADWAY Ella 100% 74% 21% 3% - - -
36 WATTS Jason 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
37 WATERMAN Andie 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
38 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.