June NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, June 5, 2021 at 8:15 AM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
5 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
6 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
7 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 10%
8 STONE Ben 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
9 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
10 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
11 YEN Darren 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
12 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 1%
13 JI Cody Walter 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
14 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
15 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 10%
16 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
17 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 29%
18 NOBLE Daniel 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
19 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
20 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 99% 94% 77% 47% 18% 3%
21 ATTIG Will T. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
22 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
23 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
24 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
25 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
25 LINSKY Matthew 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
27 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
28 HU William 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
29 BARNETT Adam 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
30 LIM Sanha 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
31 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
32 CZAHA Balint 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
33 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
33 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 3%
35 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
36 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
37 SINGER Carson 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
38 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
39 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
40 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
41 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
42 WOOD Elden S. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
43 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
44 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 100% 96% 77% 32% 4%
45 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
46 ROBERTS Sam 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
47 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 96% 68% 28% 5% -
48 MORREALE John 100% 94% 72% 39% 14% 3% -
49 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
50 BARBER William S. 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% -
51 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
52 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
53 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
54 LIU kelly 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
55 DROZ Camden J. 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
56 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
57 SHI Andrew 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
58 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
59 KONOVALOV Evgeniy 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
60 DODRILL Grant 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
61 LIN John A. 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
61 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
63 YUN Jake 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
64 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
65 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
66 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
67 MORRILL Justin 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% -
68 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
69 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 28% 6%
70 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 13% 1%
70 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
72 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
73 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
74 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
75 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 100% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
76 MICHELL Bailey 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 11% 1%
77 WIND Nicky E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
78 XU Luke 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
79 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
80 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% -
80 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 82% 39% 8% 1% -
82 SMITH David C. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
83 CHAN Matthew 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
84 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% -
85 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 71% 29% 6% - -
85 KIM Andrew H. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
87 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
87 TANN Justin 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
89 FENG Leo 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
90 WALKER III Alex 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
91 BERGER Oliver 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
92 LE Hayden 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
93 QUAN Nicholas 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
94 RICE Vaughn A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
95 RAI Avin 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
96 MORRILL William 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
97 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
98 ZHOU Justin 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
99 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
100 REN Richard 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
101 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
101 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
103 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
104 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
105 WESLER Logan A. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
106 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
107 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
107 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
109 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
110 DU Gavin J. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
111 POPE Nico 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 6% 1%
112 YUN Jaesun 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
113 WILSON Jude 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
114 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
115 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 98% 78% 39% 9% 1%
116 XU William 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
117 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
118 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
118 TONG ZACHARY 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
120 JEAN Noe T. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
121 WOODWARD Connor 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
122 LAI Adam J. 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3%
123 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
124 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
124 YANG Ziyi 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% -
126 LI Joshua L. 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
127 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% -
128 NIL Michael Y. 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
129 RAJA Arnav 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
130 GANTA Vijay 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
131 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
132 BECKER Dylan J. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
133 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 8% 1%
134 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
135 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
136 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
137 COLE Alexander 100% 76% 31% 5% - -
137 BEITEL Noah 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
139 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
140 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
141 SCHARDINE Ryan 100% 63% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.