June NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Sunday, June 6, 2021 at 1:15 PM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
2 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
3 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
3 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
6 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
7 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
8 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 32% 6%
9 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
10 ZEGERS Anneke E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
11 KONG Vera 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
12 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
13 JOHNSON Honor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
14 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
15 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
16 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
17 THEODORE Maria A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
17 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
19 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
20 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 46% 13%
21 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
22 JULIEN Michelle 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
23 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% -
24 ADYNSKI Gillian I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
25 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
26 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
27 CHAN Casey 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
28 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
29 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
30 HARRILL Gillian N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
31 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 5%
32 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
33 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
34 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
35 MIKA Veronica 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
36 GORMAN Alexandra C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
37 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
38 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
39 TAO Hannah J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
40 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
41 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
42 YANG Ashley M. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
43 BLUM Leah I. 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
44 BOIS Adele 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
45 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
46 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
47 AVAKIAN Mikaela 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
47 TZOU Alexandra 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
49 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
50 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
51 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
52 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
53 BROWNE Alexis G. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
54 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
55 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
56 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
57 STONE Hava S. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
58 GORMLEY Arwen E. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
59 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
60 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
61 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
62 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
63 YODER Bridget H. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
64 LI Victoria J. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
65 DRAGON Rainer 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
66 LI Amanda C. 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3%
67 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
68 HONE Katarina G. 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% -
69 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
70 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
71 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
72 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
73 WU Erica L. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
74 LU Elaine 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
75 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
76 HURST Kennedy 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
77 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
78 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
79 JUNG Irene 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
80 WEINBERG Alexandra L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
81 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
82 NI Sharon 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
83 BROWN Emma 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
84 YONG Erika E. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
85 TURNOF Kayla M. 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
85 HILD Nisha 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
87 CHEN Xinyan 100% 78% 36% 10% 1% - -
88 LU Amy 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
89 XI Shining 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
90 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 91% 54% 17% 2% -
91 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
92 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% -
93 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
94 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
95 MOYA Keona L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
96 LIU Rachel 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
97 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
98 DANK Dina 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
99 KALRA Himani V. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
100 AKARD Micah M. 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
101 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
102 YUN Maya 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
103 CHANG Emily 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
104 ENGELMAN Madeline A. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
105 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
106 SZETO Chloe 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
107 HOLMES Emma 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
108 BILILIES Sophia 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
109 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
109 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
111 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
112 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
112 NEIBART Fiona 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
114 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 62% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.