Thrust Fall ROC - Div 1A/Div 2 - plus Non-Regional Junior/Cadet

Div I-A Men's Saber

Sunday, December 9, 2018 at 3:00 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRICE Jack S. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
2 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
3 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
3 YEN Darren 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
5 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
6 GRUBE Sterling T. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
7 DEANS Donovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
8 LIN William 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% 1%
9 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 27% 5%
10 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
11 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
12 WOLIN Zachary A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 63% 30% 7%
13 OFFUTT Tyler T. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
14 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
15 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
16 TANG Brendan J. 100% 99% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
17 COTTER Liam 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13% -
18 KAHN Justin M. 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
19 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
20 CACERES Hernan 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
21 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
22 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
23 DAMMER Mark W. 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 11%
24 RICE Vaughn A. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
25 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
26 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
27 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
28 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
29 BARNETT Adam 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
30 HARE John R. 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
31 ODIERNO Payton W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
32 CHO Brandon 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
33 WU Nicholas R. 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
34 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
35 LASORSA Matthew 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
36 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
37 GUZMAN Rafael (RJ) J. 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
38 WOLFE-MCGUIRE George T. 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
39 HENNICKE Michael G. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
40 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
41 YAO Jonathan 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
42 YEN Preston 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
43 MURTHY Mukund 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
44 LOBO-BERG Gabriel (G) K. 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% -
45 ZHOU Miles 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
46 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.