4th Annual Orange & Blue Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEJIAS Wolfgang 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
3 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
3 MOORE Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
5 JELEV Mario 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
6 FORNARIS Susana 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
7 THAYER Jake 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
8 VERNACHIO Anthony 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
9 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
10 JAMES Edward (EJ) 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
10 STEELE Demario 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
12 THAYER Bryce 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
13 BRACELIS Josias 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
14 BUCUR Rebekah 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
15 ALVIOR Jacob 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
16 PIRKOWSKI Amanda 100% 99% 88% 58% 25% 6% 1%
17 RUSSANOV Boris 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
18 SHIVPRASAD Akshaya 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
19 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 5%
20 FREY Wayne 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
21 HANDBERG Paul 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
22 DENG Nathan B. 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
23 WILLIAMS Ashley N. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
24 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
25 RAMCHARAN Zachary K. 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
26 FREY Claire E. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
27 GORDET Cristina 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
28 OLSON William 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% -
29 AKINS Winston 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
30 PINCKNEY John F. 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
31 BURNS Richard M. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
32 ASH Neil 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
33 GROSSE Michael 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
34 GORIUNOV Ivan A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
35 COWPER Shane R. 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
36 CLAYTON Robert 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
37 LORES Alicia 100% 98% 88% 62% 31% 9% 1%
38 TAUBLER Michelle 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
39 MCFARLAND John G. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
40 FERNADEZ Christopher 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
41 ARNOLD Nathan A. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
42 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
44 WISOLMERSKI Rachel 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
45 POPA Raluca 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
46 VARGAS Diego 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% -
47 PORTER Stephany 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.