AFM Youth Epee Cup - Event #1

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 8:00 AM

AFM Sunnyvale - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 NG Biwon 100% 95% 77% 46% 18% 5% 1% -
2 LI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 62% 30% 8% 1%
3 CHANG Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 22% 5% 1%
3 SU Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 76% 48% 20% 5% < 1%
5 ANDERSON Kai 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5% -
6 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 19% 3%
7 HSU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 37% 12% 2%
8 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 69% 36% 9%
9 HARTMANN Angelo 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% - - -
10 DULAY Grant 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 9%
11 LAU Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 67% 35% 11% 1%
12 ZHAO Colin 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - - -
13 TAN Ryan 100% 99% 89% 63% 32% 10% 2% - -
14 CLAES Lucas 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 22% 5% 1%
15 HUSTON Riley 100% 99% 95% 79% 51% 22% 6% 1%
16 FU Adrian 100% 98% 86% 60% 30% 10% 2% - -
17 RUFANOV Maxim 100% 99% 91% 69% 39% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.