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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

April NAC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, April 17, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JAKEL Alysa C. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
2 SHIV Avni - - 2% 16% 44% 37%
3 SMUK Alexandra S. 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
3 YAO Melinda - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
5 LEE REGINA - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
6 WANG Ziqi 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
7 WITTER Catherine A. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
8 QIAN Irene - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
9 CHI Chelsea 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
10 WANG Angelina 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% < 1%
11 LEE Olivia - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
12 BECKMAN Ana 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
13 PHUKAN Indra - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
14 NGUYEN Jolie T. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
15 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
16 BUSH emma - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 23%
17 CAFASSO Natalya - 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 5%
18 STERR Isabella M. - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
19 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
20 PULLEN Ayah 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
21 HSIU Elizabeth 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
22 PROFIS Liora - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
23 WATTANAKIT Anda - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
24 LIN Ariel 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
25 YILMAZ Pinar - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
26 HAYNES Antonia 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
27 CARRIER Meredith 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
28 KINDEL Amara 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
29 NIX Reagan 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% -
30 LEE Camilla 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
31 SMOTRITSKY Liat 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
32 LEE Gloria 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
33 READ Lyla 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
34 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
35 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
36 YERIAN Ayda 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
37 YOUNG VIVIAN 1% 6% 25% 40% 23% 4%
38 WRIGHT Madison 16% 42% 32% 9% 1% -
39 GUO Luxi 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
40 WANG Victoria 2% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
41 PATELLI Anna Alice 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
42 KANASKAR Ila 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
43 DAVIS Cate - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
44 MCCREIGHT Elena 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
45 VAN VACTER Madelynn 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
46 MCCREIGHT Geneva 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
47 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
48 DAVIS Elisabeth 45% 39% 14% 2% - - -
49 NEELAM Navya 6% 27% 41% 22% 5% -
50 SMITH Jasmin 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
51 JIANG Xinchen 9% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
52 KROPP Anne 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.