April NAC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, April 17, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
2 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
3 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%
3 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
6 WANG Ziqi 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
7 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
8 QIAN Irene 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 5%
9 CHI Chelsea 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
10 WANG Angelina 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% < 1%
11 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
12 BECKMAN Ana 100% 98% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
13 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
14 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
15 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
16 BUSH emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 23%
17 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
18 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
19 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
20 PULLEN Ayah 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
21 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
22 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
23 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
24 LIN Ariel 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
25 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
26 HAYNES Antonia 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
27 CARRIER Meredith 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
28 KINDEL Amara 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
29 NIX Reagan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
30 LEE Camilla 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
31 SMOTRITSKY Liat 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
32 LEE Gloria 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
33 READ Lyla 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
34 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
35 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
36 YERIAN Ayda 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
37 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
38 WRIGHT Madison 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
39 GUO Luxi 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
40 WANG Victoria 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
41 PATELLI Anna Alice 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
42 KANASKAR Ila 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
43 DAVIS Cate 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
44 MCCREIGHT Elena 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
45 VAN VACTER Madelynn 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
46 MCCREIGHT Geneva 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
47 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
48 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
49 NEELAM Navya 100% 94% 68% 27% 5% -
50 SMITH Jasmin 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
51 JIANG Xinchen 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
52 KROPP Anne 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.