April NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Sunday, April 18, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
2 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
3 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
5 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
6 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
7 LEE Alina 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
8 LAM Justina 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
9 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
10 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18% 1%
11 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
12 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
13 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
14 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
15 JO Mia C. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
16 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
17 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
18 CHEN Jia P. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
19 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
20 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
21 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 9%
22 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
23 LEE Paulina 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
24 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
25 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
26 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
27 QIAN Crystal 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
28 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
29 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
30 KIM Rachael 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
31 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
32 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
33 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
34 SENIC Adeline 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
35 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
36 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
37 HO Brianna W. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
38 MINARIK Natalie M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
39 LUNG Katerina 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 7% 1%
40 BATRA Chaahat 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
41 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
42 JING Emily 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
43 BREKER Anika 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
44 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
45 LEE Bethany W. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
46 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
47 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
48 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
49 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
49 KIM Katherine 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
51 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
52 CHO Gracie L. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
52 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
54 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
55 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
56 LI Phoebe J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 9% 1%
57 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
58 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
59 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
60 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
61 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
62 KONG Olivia 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
63 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
64 EYER Hailey M. 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
65 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
66 CAO Arianna L. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
67 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
68 CEPERO Rosabel 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
69 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
70 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
71 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
72 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
73 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
74 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
75 TONG Ophelia 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
76 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
77 LI Grace Q. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% -
78 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
79 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
79 LI Meilin 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
81 CHO Cameron S. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
82 YU Seneca 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
83 WANG Ellen 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
84 CHEN Allison V. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
85 XUE Alanna 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
86 OH Erin H. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
87 SHEN Lydia 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
88 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
89 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
90 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
91 CHO Taylor S. 100% 85% 43% 12% 2% -
92 OFFERLE Judith (Jude) A. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
93 SEAL Julie T. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
94 ATLURI Srija 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
95 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.