Event Results

Div III Mixed Épée

RCFC Thursday Night D & Under Epee #1Surprise Map

Thursday, October 21, 2021 at 7:30 PM Rain City Fencing Center · Bellevue, WA, USA

26 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	KIM Andrew J.	V V V V V V	V V V V	4.5	6	+1.5
2	ZHOU Justin	V V V D V V	V V V D	4.1	5	+0.9
3	GUAN Nathan	V V V V D V	V V D	4.6	5	+0.4
3	LOESER Jacob	V V V V D D	V V V D	3.0	4	+1.0
5	BERKE Dan L.	V V V V V	V D	3.9	5	+1.1
6	ZHOU Gavin	V D V V V	V D	2.1	4	+1.9
7	GALLIETT Jack	V V V V D	V D	3.8	4	+0.2
8	MYERS Jonathan	V V D V V D	V V D	4.7	4	-0.7
9	BIROAN Chaz	V V V D V D	V D	2.9	4	+1.1
10	BEAVER Aaron	D V V D V	V D	3.1	3	-0.1
11	PETERSEN Ephraim	D D V V V	V D	2.0	3	+1.0
12	WEGENER Soren	D D D V V V	V D	3.3	3	-0.3
13	BEAVER Kaitlyn	D D V D V V	V D	2.3	3	+0.7
14	MCLAUGHLIN Brian P.	V D D D V	V D	1.7	2	+0.3
14	NAIR Supriya	D V V D D	V D	3.0	2	-1.0
16	SPERANZA John	D D D V D	V D	2.2	1	-1.2
17	LEIFUR-MASTERSON Kaitlin	V V D V D	D	2.0	3	+1.0
18	RALEIGH Cody	D D V V D V	D	2.5	3	+0.5
19	KLEINKNECHT Erich	D V D D V	D	2.1	2	-0.1
20	HOOVER Mignon	D V D D D V	D	0.8	2	+1.2
21	GILLIARD Virginia	V D D D D	D	2.6	1	-1.6
22	SILKEY Jason	D D D V D D	D	1.5	1	-0.5
23	KUHL Haley	V D D D D D	D	2.8	1	-1.8
24	OTERO Tony	D D D D V D	D	2.7	1	-1.7
25	WHITE Michelle	D D D D D	D	1.3	0	-1.3
26	CATLIN Avery	D D D D D D	D	2.3	0	-2.3

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!