Event Results

Div II Women's Foil

American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15Surprise Map

Friday, June 11, 2021 at 1:00 PM Oaks, PA · Oaks, PA, USA

31 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	ZHAO Aileen Y.	V D V V V	V V V V V	3.9	4	+0.1
2	XUE Alanna L.	V V V V V	V V V V D	4.0	5	+1.0
3	WU Julianna Y.	V D V V V	V V V D	3.7	4	+0.3
3	TAN Clarisse	D V V D D V	V V V D	4.0	3	-1.0
5	PAHLAVI Dahlia	V V V V V	V D	4.3	5	+0.7
6	LEE Ariana	V V V V V	V V D	3.8	5	+1.2
7	SU Michelle	D V D V V	V V D	3.3	3	-0.3
8	MAO Rebecca J.	V D D D D	V V D	3.2	1	-2.2
9	HUANG NATALIE	V V V V V D	V D	4.5	5	+0.5
9	XIANG Emma	V V D V V V	V D	3.9	5	+1.1
11	COSTELLO Angeline S.	V V D V V	V D	3.8	4	+0.2
12	ROY Layla	D V V D V V	V D	3.8	4	+0.2
13	SCHMIDT Victoria	D V D V D	V D	2.1	2	-0.1
14	ZGOMBIC Emily	D V V D D	V D	2.0	2	-
15	LIU Sophia	V V D D D	V D	2.2	2	-0.2
16	MEYER Claudia	V D D D D	V D	1.6	1	-0.6
17	ASCHETTINO Aurora	V V D V V	D	1.6	4	+2.4
18	PAVE Claire	D V V V V	D	1.8	4	+2.2
19	WEBB Ella	D D V V D	D	3.1	2	-1.1
20	THIRUVENGADAM Harini	V V D D D	D	1.5	2	+0.5
21	HUERTA-CARO Gina	D V D D V	D	2.5	2	-0.5
22	WANG Ashley	D D V D V	D	1.9	2	+0.1
23	MCKEE Alexandra K.	D D V V D	D	2.1	2	-0.1
24	ZHOU Catherine	V D D V D D	D	1.9	2	+0.1
25	NUNLEY Victoria	D D V D D	D	1.9	1	-0.9
26	HSIEH Rebecca	V D D D D	D	1.8	1	-0.8
27	LENZ Zoe N.	D D D D V	D	2.2	1	-1.2
28	ROMANO Megan C.	D D V D D	D	1.0	1	-
29	KIM April	D D V D D D	D	2.0	1	-1.0
30	OETZEL Taylor	D D D D D V	D	0.9	1	+0.1
31	STECKER camille	D D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

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