American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Junior Women's Foil

Friday, June 11, 2021 at 5:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
3 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
5 CANDESCU Diana 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
6 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
7 PERLMAN Talia 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
8 EYER Hailey M. 100% 98% 79% 38% 7%
9 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
10 LI Meilin 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
11 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
12 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
13 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
14 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 4%
15 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 91% 57% 17% 2%
16 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
17 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 5%
18 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 10%
19 TAN Clarisse 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
20 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 93% 54% 14% 1%
21 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 7%
22 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 98% 77% 34% 5%
23 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 100% 90% 50% 13% 1%
24 HUANG NATALIE 100% 82% 37% 8% 1%
25 YU Lauren C. 100% 99% 85% 43% 10% 1%
26 WU Julianna Y. 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1%
27 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 96% 68% 23% 3%
28 GU Emily 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% -
29 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
30 WEBB Ella 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% -
31 LEE Ariana 100% 97% 77% 32% 6% -
32 KIM April 100% 53% 7% - - -
33 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
34 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 99% 85% 48% 12% 1%
35 OH Erin H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
36 SU Michelle 100% 96% 57% 16% 2% -
37 PAVE Claire 100% 82% 34% 6% - -
38 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
39 WANG Ashley 100% 92% 55% 17% 2% -
40 LIU Sophia 100% 92% 38% 7% - -
41 MCKEE Alexandra K. 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
42 ZGOMBIC Emily 100% 65% 12% 1% - -
43 XIANG Emma 100% 62% 18% 2% -
44 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 52% 11% 1% - -
44 HOWELL Jocelyn 100% 16% 1% - - -
46 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
47 OETZEL Taylor 100% 18% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.