American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, June 12, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CANDESCU Diana - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 HOSONO Rei W. - - - 2% 16% 45% 36%
3 KIM Rachael - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
3 CASTANEDA Erika L. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
5 FANG Sabrina - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
6 LI Meilin - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
7 LEE Brianna J. - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 15%
8 ZHANG Alina C. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
9 KOENIG Charlotte R. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
10 HORSLEY Asherah - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
11 OH Erin H. - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
12 GRIFFIN Emma G. - - - 5% 26% 46% 22%
13 LEE Allison (Allie) - - - 3% 18% 46% 34%
14 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie - - 5% 23% 44% 25% 4%
15 LI Phoebe J. - - 3% 16% 38% 35% 8%
16 DAVIA Daniella V. - 1% 11% 37% 41% 11%
17 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. - - - 5% 23% 47% 26%
18 HE Fenghuan - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
19 HECKMANN Emma - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
20 WU Julianna Y. 1% 13% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
21 KOKES Gabrielle - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
22 EYER Hailey M. - 3% 22% 44% 27% 4%
23 PAHLAVI Dahlia 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%
24 CHEN Allison V. - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
25 PERLMAN Talia - 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
26 YU Lauren C. 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
27 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" - 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 1%
28 TURNER Stephanie E. 6% 33% 40% 18% 3% - -
29 WU Irene M. 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
30 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 4%
31 XUE Alanna L. - 10% 41% 37% 11% 1%
32 SU Michelle 4% 25% 42% 24% 5% - -
33 COSTELLO Angeline S. - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
34 LEE Ariana 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
35 WEBB Ella 3% 25% 41% 25% 6% 1% -
36 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 1% 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
37 GU Emily 2% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
38 XIANG Emma 6% 32% 39% 18% 4% - -
39 DEVEREAUX Kate E. 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
40 TAN Clarisse 5% 35% 39% 17% 3% -
41 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 69% 28% 3% - - -
42 MAO Rebecca J. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
43 PAVE Claire 15% 56% 25% 4% - -
44 WEINTRAUB Io H. 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
45 WANG Ashley 12% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
46 HUANG NATALIE 1% 10% 33% 39% 16% 2% -
47 SCHMIDT Victoria 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
48 ZHOU Catherine 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
49 DRESSEL Pamela (Pam) A. 1% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
50 MEYER Claudia 75% 23% 2% - - -
51 LEE Kaitlyn 67% 29% 4% - - - -
52 WATERS Samantha M. 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
53 ROMANO Megan C. 74% 23% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.