American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, June 12, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CANDESCU Diana 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
3 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
3 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
5 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
6 LI Meilin 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
7 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
8 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
9 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
10 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
11 OH Erin H. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
12 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 22%
13 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
14 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 4%
15 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
16 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 11%
17 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
18 HE Fenghuan 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
19 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
20 WU Julianna Y. 100% 99% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
21 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
22 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 4%
23 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
24 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
25 PERLMAN Talia 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
26 YU Lauren C. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
27 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
28 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 94% 61% 21% 3% - -
29 WU Irene M. 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
30 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
31 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 89% 48% 11% 1%
32 SU Michelle 100% 96% 71% 30% 5% - -
33 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
34 LEE Ariana 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
35 WEBB Ella 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% 1% -
36 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 99% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
37 GU Emily 100% 98% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
38 XIANG Emma 100% 94% 61% 23% 4% - -
39 DEVEREAUX Kate E. 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
40 TAN Clarisse 100% 95% 60% 20% 3% -
41 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 31% 3% - - -
42 MAO Rebecca J. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
43 PAVE Claire 100% 85% 29% 4% - -
44 WEINTRAUB Io H. 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
45 WANG Ashley 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
46 HUANG NATALIE 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2% -
47 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
48 ZHOU Catherine 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
49 DRESSEL Pamela (Pam) A. 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
50 MEYER Claudia 100% 25% 2% - - -
51 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 33% 5% - - - -
52 WATERS Samantha M. 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
53 ROMANO Megan C. 100% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.