2021 Pomme De Terre - EPEE

E & Under Men's Épée

Saturday, June 12, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
2 SPRINGER Michael 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
3 MACNEIL Drew A. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
3 ROLLO Emmett H. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
5 BEALS Alden 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
6 RYE Wiliam 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% < 1%
7 BANKIER Emilio N. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
8 MELCHER Charles - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
9 KARAMANIAN Nicholas 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
10 LAI Aiden - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
11 OSTIGUY Cameron - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
12 MARINI Davide 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
13 REELS Eric J. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
14 SEOL Austin - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
15 ZHANG William 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
16 MORTIMER Gavin 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
17 SAVORETTI Francesco 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
18 HA Daniel 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
19 GRAYSON Joshua 27% 46% 22% 4% - - -
20 MATTHEWS Logan C. 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
21 CROSS Kieran 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 1%
22 STEINMANN Simon - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
23 GAVIN Liam 6% 27% 39% 23% 4% -
24 GONG Haixiang 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
25 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% -
26 FENG Du 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
27 STALL-RYAN Jonathan 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
28 THOMPSON Ian 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
29 LUO Peter 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
30 MACNEILL Owen 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
31 SONG Phillip 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
32 BUTTS Brendan 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.