Elite Challenge 2021

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Elite Fencing Academy - Springfield, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 ROTHKA Spencer J. - - 1% 4% 13% 26% 31% 20% 5%
2 TIRADO Giancarlo 5% 22% 34% 25% 11% 3% < 1% - -
3 KIM Brad K. - - 2% 8% 20% 30% 26% 12% 2%
3 MACEDON Gianna 3% 13% 27% 29% 19% 7% 2% - -
5 FU Ethan - - 1% 4% 12% 26% 31% 21% 6%
6 PALAMARCHUK Matthew - 4% 16% 29% 28% 16% 5% 1% -
7 DAN Rex - 1% 5% 15% 27% 29% 18% 6% 1%
8 MADAR Maximilian - 4% 15% 28% 29% 17% 5% 1% -
9 VICKERMAN Lilly 2% 12% 25% 30% 20% 8% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.