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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHEN Lefu	-	-	-	-	1%	12%	88%
2	LEE Natasha	-	-	1%	4%	19%	41%	35%
3	CHIRASHNYA Noya	-	3%	16%	35%	34%	12%
3	WANG Ziqi	-	1%	7%	26%	42%	25%
5	ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika	-	-	4%	19%	43%	34%
6	DALEY Keira	5%	25%	38%	24%	7%	1%
7	LI Charlotte	-	1%	10%	32%	41%	15%
8	HUANG Lanlan	-	2%	13%	32%	37%	16%
9	CHANG Celine A.	-	1%	8%	26%	41%	25%
10	LIN Ashley	-	4%	17%	35%	32%	11%
11	ENRILE Erica	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	3%
12	SIVAGAR Fiona	-	2%	13%	32%	37%	16%
13	LEE Olivia	-	1%	5%	23%	43%	29%
14	LEE Camilla	1%	9%	30%	38%	19%	3%
15	TAN Jocelyn	-	2%	11%	29%	35%	19%	3%
16	DERAKSHANDEH Donya	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	3%
17	MARTYNOVA Diana	-	5%	21%	35%	27%	10%	1%
18	HSIU Elizabeth	-	5%	21%	40%	28%	6%
19	MA Katelyn	8%	27%	36%	22%	6%	1%
20	ESTRADA Ariana	2%	14%	32%	33%	16%	3%	-
21	XU Celina	6%	27%	37%	22%	6%	1%	-
22	HABERMAN Hailey	-	6%	24%	39%	25%	5%
23	YIN Gabriela	4%	19%	36%	29%	11%	2%
24	CHA Eugenie	-	5%	20%	37%	30%	8%
25	DUONG Zoey	-	3%	14%	32%	35%	15%	1%
26	LYU Jiaqi	1%	10%	29%	35%	19%	5%	-
27	POON Desiree	-	5%	19%	35%	30%	10%	-
28	GUO Luxi	4%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
29	PACHECO Evangeline	1%	13%	32%	34%	16%	3%
30	SIMHADRI Meghana	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	4%
31	HAU Olivia	-	5%	23%	39%	26%	6%
32	YIN Grace	-	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	3%
33	WANG Angelina	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
34	CHIRASHNYA Mika	25%	41%	25%	7%	1%	-
35	GUPTA Sanya	-	6%	23%	38%	26%	6%
36	LOUIE Sarah	6%	29%	41%	20%	4%	-
37	MATHEW Noe	22%	45%	26%	6%	1%	-
38	COHEN Shaina	9%	29%	36%	20%	5%	1%
39	SALISTRA Emilia	26%	47%	22%	4%	-	-
40	DAYAL Saahira	27%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-
41	CHOWDHURI Anusha	19%	40%	30%	10%	1%	-
42	SI Amelia	3%	17%	35%	31%	12%	2%
43	LEE Samantha X.	6%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%	-
44	CHANG Abigail	1%	10%	28%	35%	20%	5%	-
45	BHATT Anisha	48%	39%	11%	1%	-	-	-
46	LEE Megan	12%	33%	34%	16%	4%	-
47	ZOLNIKOV Alina	6%	31%	44%	16%	2%	-
48	CHEUNG Sharon	8%	30%	38%	19%	4%	-
49	MULAGARI Swarasai	43%	40%	14%	2%	-	-
50	MYERS Cal	26%	41%	25%	7%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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