The Fencing Center RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, December 4, 2021 at 5:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHO Gracie L.	-	1%	11%	33%	41%	14%
2	KONG Olivia	-	2%	14%	33%	36%	14%
3	KHOO Lauren A.	-	1%	15%	52%	31%
3	GOOR Viviene E.	-	2%	10%	27%	35%	22%	5%
5	KONG Chin-Yi	-	-	-	-	6%	36%	58%
6	CASTANEDA Erika L.	-	-	-	2%	15%	43%	40%
7	GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A.	-	-	2%	14%	42%	42%
8	YIN Helen	2%	25%	53%	18%	2%
9	ZHANG Eunice	2%	13%	32%	35%	16%	3%	-
10	SOOD Ishani S.	-	1%	10%	45%	45%
11	CHENG Lydia A.	-	-	1%	9%	30%	43%	16%
12	SUN Ruoxi	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
13	WEBB Ella	3%	21%	41%	28%	7%	1%
14	KOROL Dana	2%	15%	34%	33%	14%	2%
15	FERNANDES Thea	-	2%	12%	31%	37%	16%	2%
16	KOSLOW Amicie	-	5%	18%	33%	29%	13%	2%
17	HSIUNG Samantha	-	3%	22%	48%	23%	3%	-
18	WANG Zoie Z.	11%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-
19	SHIH Diane	-	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
20	YEH Marissa E.	-	-	3%	22%	49%	23%	3%
21	KOROL Neta	-	-	-	5%	29%	51%	16%
22	TALWALKAR Apoorva	-	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
23	BOLES Amanda X.	15%	38%	31%	12%	3%	-	-
24	PANT Anisha	1%	8%	29%	40%	19%	3%
25	LUO Sandra J.	1%	6%	21%	34%	27%	10%	2%
26	CABALU Alaina	1%	25%	50%	21%	3%	-	-
27	MU Allison	26%	42%	24%	7%	1%	-	-
28	DAVIS Bonnie Z.	1%	9%	28%	37%	21%	4%
29	VO Bao-Vy	28%	42%	23%	6%	1%	-
30	ZHENG Zoe	3%	46%	41%	9%	1%	-	-
31	PATTERSON Natalia	13%	36%	34%	14%	3%	-	-
32	WANG Celine S.	47%	40%	12%	1%	-	-
33	LUH Mia P.	19%	39%	30%	10%	2%	-	-
34	PENG Serena	11%	53%	31%	4%	-
35	NICKOLOV Nora	71%	26%	2%	-	-
36	WELBORN Calissa	10%	38%	36%	13%	2%	-
37	HOBSON Ava	6%	25%	38%	24%	6%	1%	-
38	MCKAY Teresa	88%	11%	-	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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