The Fencing Center RJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 4:30 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LEANG Priscilla Y.	-	-	-	-	5%	28%	67%
2	CHEN Lefu	-	-	-	1%	6%	31%	62%
3	LAN Alice S.	-	-	-	-	5%	29%	66%
3	PACHECO Naomi	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
5	FELAND Alexandra	-	-	1%	6%	23%	42%	28%
6	CHANG Celine A.	-	-	6%	26%	44%	24%
7	PANT Anisha	-	1%	6%	28%	44%	20%
8	ENRILE Erica	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%	-
9	HAU Olivia	-	1%	11%	36%	39%	13%
10	ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika	-	-	4%	21%	45%	30%
11	HABERMAN Hailey	-	3%	14%	31%	34%	16%	2%
12	CHIRASHNYA Noya	-	3%	15%	34%	35%	13%
13	LEE Olivia	-	2%	10%	28%	36%	20%	4%
14	LIPKOVITZ Rivka	1%	7%	23%	35%	26%	8%	1%
15	DALEY Keira	8%	28%	36%	21%	6%	1%	-
16	DUONG Zoey	2%	22%	44%	26%	6%	-
17	LIN Ashley	1%	7%	24%	35%	25%	7%	1%
18	SINHA Zara	-	1%	6%	24%	40%	26%	3%
19	CHA Eugenie	1%	6%	23%	36%	26%	7%	-
20	LYU Jiaqi	-	3%	16%	35%	33%	12%	1%
21	LI Charlotte	-	3%	21%	42%	27%	5%
22	TAN Jocelyn	1%	9%	28%	37%	22%	5%
23	LOUIE Sarah	4%	29%	43%	20%	4%	-
24	HSIU Elizabeth	1%	7%	24%	35%	25%	8%	-
25	YIN Grace	-	1%	9%	33%	41%	15%
26	DAYAL Saahira	45%	40%	13%	2%	-	-
27	LEE Samantha X.	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-	-
28	HUANG Lanlan	-	4%	16%	33%	32%	14%	1%
29	MARTYNOVA Diana	1%	7%	23%	35%	25%	8%	1%
30	DERAKSHANDEH Donya	2%	17%	35%	32%	12%	2%
31	WANG Angelina	4%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
32	POON Desiree	9%	31%	36%	19%	5%	1%	-
33	SIMHADRI Meghana	3%	16%	32%	31%	15%	3%	-
34	SIVAGAR Fiona	-	1%	6%	20%	36%	29%	8%
35	ESTRADA Ariana	13%	34%	33%	16%	4%	-	-
36	YIN Gabriela	1%	7%	22%	35%	26%	8%	1%
37	SI Amelia	14%	39%	33%	12%	2%	-	-
38	COHEN Shaina	10%	41%	36%	11%	1%	-
39	XU Celina	9%	38%	39%	13%	2%	-
40	WAGLE Vaishali	4%	19%	34%	29%	12%	2%	-
41	MA Katelyn	1%	12%	33%	35%	16%	3%	-
42	CHANG Abigail	16%	37%	31%	13%	3%	-	-
43	LIANG Jingjing	25%	40%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
44	BHATT Anisha	35%	43%	18%	4%	-	-	-
45	ZOLNIKOV Alina	58%	35%	6%	-	-	-
46	CHEUNG Sharon	60%	34%	6%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.