December NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Thursday, December 9, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
2 JOHNSON Honor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 THEODORE Maria A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
5 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
6 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
7 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
8 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
9 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
10 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
11 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
12 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
13 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
14 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
15 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
16 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 2%
17 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
18 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
19 STONE Anne-Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
20 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 13%
21 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
22 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
23 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
24 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
25 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
25 LU Elaine 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
27 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
28 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
29 XU Ellen 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
30 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
31 HARRILL Gillian N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
32 LU Yi Lin 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
33 MARSEE Samantha 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
34 TOLEDO AMES Julieta Isabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 19%
35 WHANG Rebecca 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
36 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
37 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
38 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
39 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
40 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
41 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
42 LIU Lily 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
43 SZETO Chloe 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
44 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
45 KUDRIAVTSEVA Daria 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 35% 8%
46 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
47 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
48 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 5%
49 ADYNSKI Gillian I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
49 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
51 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
52 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
53 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
53 PERRIER Eleonore 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
55 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
56 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
57 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
58 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
59 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 10%
60 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
61 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% -
62 TAO Hannah J. 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
63 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
64 LEE Hannah 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
65 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
66 KALRA Himani V. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
67 LI Victoria J. 100% 99% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
68 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
68 KATZ Anat 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
68 CHEN Jane 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
71 SADIK HANA 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
72 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 3%
73 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
74 XI Shining 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% 1% -
75 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
76 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
77 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
78 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
79 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
80 GHAYALOD reya 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
81 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
82 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
83 STONE Hava S. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
84 LEVITIS Danielle 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
85 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% - -
86 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
87 KER Grace 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
88 DANK Dina 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
89 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
90 LIN Audrey J. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
91 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 3%
92 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
93 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 21% 3%
94 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
94 HILD Nisha 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
96 LIU Sophie 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
97 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
98 BILILIES Sophia 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
99 NEIBART Fiona 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
100 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
101 YUAN Greta 100% 87% 49% 13% 2% -
102 HASSAN Aziza R. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
103 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
104 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
105 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
106 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% - -
107 MIKA Veronica 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
108 DRAGON Rainer 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
109 CHEN Xinyan 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
110 SHAY-TANNAS Zoe 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
111 LU Amy 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
112 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
113 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
114 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
115 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -
116 GLUCK Myriam 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
117 SINHA Anika 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.