December NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, December 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 HOMER Daryl D. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
3 DODDO Andrew - - - 4% 30% 66%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - 3% 24% 72%
5 SKEETE Kamar A. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 2%
6 SARON Mitchell S. - - 3% 27% 70%
7 ELSISSY Ziad A. - - - - 1% 16% 82%
8 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
9 DERSHWITZ Eli R. - - 1% 7% 32% 51% 9%
10 MORRILL William - 3% 14% 30% 34% 17% 3%
11 SMITH Jared C. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
12 SWARTZ Roscoe O. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
13 SHAINBERG Jonah L. - - - - 3% 28% 69%
14 LILOV Neil - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
15 WOOD Elden S. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
16 BIVINS III George A. - - 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
17 FIELDS Malcolm D. - - - - 3% 27% 70%
18 REN Junming - 5% 26% 40% 24% 5%
19 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
20 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
21 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - 5% 21% 44% 29%
22 DESROSIERS Olivier 1% 9% 43% 41% 6%
23 KIM Stephen E. - - 2% 12% 36% 42% 8%
24 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
25 YEN Darren - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
26 CHOU Stephen C. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
27 HUSSAIN Faaris - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
28 MOON Sean H. 1% 10% 44% 40% 5%
29 CZAHA Balint 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
30 LINSKY Matthew 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
31 ATTIG Will T. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
32 YANG Ziyi 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% - -
33 RAI Avin 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% < 1%
34 SOHN Kevin J. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
35 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
36 SHACHANIN Searhei - - - - 7% 46% 47%
37 KAYDALIN Artyom 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
38 WALKER Dalton F. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
39 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
40 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
41 PRIEST Leighton K. - 3% 13% 30% 35% 17% 1%
42 NOBLE Daniel 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1% -
43 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13% 1%
44 CHOI HYUNSEOK - 1% 10% 34% 44% 10%
45 DODRILL Grant - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
46 SO Hananiah - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
47 MEHTA Sachin N. - 1% 5% 19% 40% 34% 3%
48 CHAN Matthew 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
49 HONG Vincent Q. 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
50 MIKA Casper - 2% 10% 29% 40% 21%
51 LAI Adam J. - 5% 26% 40% 24% 5%
52 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 1% 8% 29% 40% 21% 2%
53 MAKLIN Edward P. 19% 44% 28% 8% 1% -
53 RICHARDSON Andrew - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
55 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
56 DINU Nicholas D. - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
57 XU Luke 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
58 LO Joshua H. - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13% 1%
59 LASORSA Matthew 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
60 DHINGRA Gian K. 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 1%
61 BENAVRAM Lev C. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
62 TANN Justin 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
63 GREENBAUM Ian L. 3% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
64 DENNER Maximilian P. 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
65 JI Cody Walter 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
66 BOOTH Zaheer - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
67 BRAR Sanjeet 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
68 COHEN Josef A. - - - - 8% 53% 38%
69 HAST Kern R. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
70 DU Gavin J. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% < 1% -
71 LIMB Matthew G. - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
72 YUN Jaesun 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
73 BOLTON Braydon A. - 5% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
74 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
75 ALTIRS Alexander 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
76 HARVEY Nicholas J. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
77 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
78 BERGER Oliver 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
79 MICHELL Bailey 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
80 JIANG Anthony 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
81 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
82 PUCCIO Gregory (Greg) 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
83 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
84 BUENAVENTURA Christian - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
84 WIND Nicky E. 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
86 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
87 XU William 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1% -
88 HUANG Ethan F. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
88 RIGHTLER Samuel 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
90 GRUBE Sterling T. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
90 POPE Nico 1% 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
92 JEFFORDS Alexander - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
93 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
93 YANG Richard 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
95 HOLZ William A. 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
96 HAN Daniel Y. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
97 ZU Kevin - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
98 GHAYALOD ansh 14% 48% 30% 7% 1% -
99 HAMMERSTROM Jared 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
100 KOTOV Leonid 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
101 BULL Anderson 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
102 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
103 SIERADZKY Dawson - 4% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
104 BRAJDIC Joseph 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4% -
105 BARTOLO Domenic V. 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
106 LIANG Connor - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
107 YUN Jake 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 2% -
108 WOODWARD Connor 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
109 LIN John A. 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 9% -
110 CHIN Matthew W. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
111 GAFFNEY John M. 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
112 NOBLE Colin 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
113 WANG Eric Y. 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
114 MORRILL Justin 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
115 FOTIYEV Alan R. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
116 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 5%
117 GANTA Vijay 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
118 ZHOU Justin 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
119 SHANAHAN Adam E. 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
120 DIACOS Jordan 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
121 MURZYN III CJ 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
122 COLE Alexander 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
123 FALLICK Ozzie - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
123 HOUTZ Jackson 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
125 NAZLYMOV Andrei 42% 47% 10% 1% -
126 KOGAN Benjamin 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
127 LE Hayden 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% -
128 KULDELL Spencer D. - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
129 JOHNSON Langston C. 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
129 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
131 SCHARDINE James 60% 34% 6% - - -
132 PAN Jerry 5% 24% 39% 25% 5% -
132 TONG ZACHARY 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
134 STREB JR. Joseph T. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
135 HANEY Vincent 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
136 JINICH Ilan R. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
137 NIL Michael Y. 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
138 MARGULIES William 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
139 ROBERTS Sam 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
140 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
141 WESLER Logan A. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
142 ERMAKOV Lev 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
143 HO Kaden M. 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
144 REN Richard 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
145 QIU Le 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3% -
146 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
147 XUE ALEXANDER 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
148 BERRIO Carter E. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
149 GUZZO Vito 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
150 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
151 RICHER Tyler 72% 24% 3% - - - -
152 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
152 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 33% 44% 20% 4% - -
154 GHENEA George Philipe 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
155 CHEONG Heonjae 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
156 EICHHORN Lukas H. 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
157 FERRIS George H. 35% 51% 13% 1% -
158 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
159 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.