December NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, December 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
5 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 2%
6 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
7 ELSISSY Ziad A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
8 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
9 DERSHWITZ Eli R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 9%
10 MORRILL William 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
11 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
12 SWARTZ Roscoe O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
13 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
14 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
15 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
16 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
17 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
18 REN Junming 100% 100% 95% 69% 28% 5%
19 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
20 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
21 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
22 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 99% 90% 47% 6%
23 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 8%
24 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
25 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
26 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
27 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
28 MOON Sean H. 100% 99% 90% 46% 5%
29 CZAHA Balint 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
30 LINSKY Matthew 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
31 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
32 YANG Ziyi 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% - -
33 RAI Avin 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% < 1%
34 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
35 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
36 SHACHANIN Searhei 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 47%
37 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
38 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
39 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
40 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
41 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 1%
42 NOBLE Daniel 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1% -
43 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% 1%
44 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 10%
45 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
46 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
47 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 36% 3%
48 CHAN Matthew 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
49 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
50 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
51 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
52 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
53 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% -
53 RICHARDSON Andrew 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
55 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
56 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
57 XU Luke 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
58 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14% 1%
59 LASORSA Matthew 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
60 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 1%
61 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 5%
62 TANN Justin 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
63 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 97% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
64 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
65 JI Cody Walter 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
66 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
67 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1% -
68 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 38%
69 HAST Kern R. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
70 DU Gavin J. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% < 1% -
71 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
72 YUN Jaesun 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
73 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
74 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
75 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 82% 43% 11% 1% -
76 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
77 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
78 BERGER Oliver 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
79 MICHELL Bailey 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
80 JIANG Anthony 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
81 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
82 PUCCIO Gregory (Greg) 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
83 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
84 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
84 WIND Nicky E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
86 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
87 XU William 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1% -
88 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1% -
88 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
90 GRUBE Sterling T. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
90 POPE Nico 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
92 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
93 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
93 YANG Richard 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
95 HOLZ William A. 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
96 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
97 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
98 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 86% 38% 8% 1% -
99 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 1%
100 KOTOV Leonid 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
101 BULL Anderson 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
102 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
103 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
104 BRAJDIC Joseph 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
105 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
106 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
107 YUN Jake 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
108 WOODWARD Connor 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
109 LIN John A. 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9% -
110 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
111 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% - -
112 NOBLE Colin 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
113 WANG Eric Y. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
114 MORRILL Justin 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
115 FOTIYEV Alan R. 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
116 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 5%
117 GANTA Vijay 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
118 ZHOU Justin 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
119 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
120 DIACOS Jordan 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
121 MURZYN III CJ 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
122 COLE Alexander 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
123 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
123 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
125 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 58% 11% 1% -
126 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
127 LE Hayden 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
128 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
129 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
129 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
131 SCHARDINE James 100% 40% 6% - - -
132 PAN Jerry 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
132 TONG ZACHARY 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
134 STREB JR. Joseph T. 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
135 HANEY Vincent 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
136 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
137 NIL Michael Y. 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
138 MARGULIES William 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
139 ROBERTS Sam 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
140 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
141 WESLER Logan A. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
142 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
143 HO Kaden M. 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
144 REN Richard 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
145 QIU Le 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3% -
146 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
147 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
148 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
149 GUZZO Vito 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% - -
150 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
151 RICHER Tyler 100% 28% 3% - - - -
152 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
152 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
154 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
155 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
156 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1% -
157 FERRIS George H. 100% 65% 14% 1% -
158 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
159 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.