American Challenge RYC/RJCC Reg Opens 1/15

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, April 4, 2021 at 4:00 PM

King of Prussia, PA - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
2 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
3 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
5 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
6 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
7 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
8 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
9 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
10 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
11 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
12 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 10%
13 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
14 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
15 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
16 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 100% 87% 49% 14% 2%
17 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
18 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
19 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
20 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
21 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
22 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
23 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
24 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
25 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
26 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
27 XUE Alanna 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
28 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
29 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
30 PERLMAN Talia 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2%
31 HIRSCH Sophie A. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
32 OH Erin H. 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
33 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
34 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
35 LI Meilin 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5%
36 CHO Taylor S. 100% 99% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
37 LEE Bethany W. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
38 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
39 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
40 ADAMS KIM Natalie 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
41 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 6%
42 HUANG NATALIE 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
43 LOCKE Savannah 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
44 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
45 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
46 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
47 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 98% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
48 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
49 YU Lauren C. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
50 DU Hannah 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
51 MCKEE Alexandra K. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
52 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
53 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
54 CHEN Georgia M. 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
55 WONG Sophia M. 100% 98% 64% 22% 4% -
56 WU Irene M. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
57 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 10% - - - -
58 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
59 SU Michelle 100% 83% 41% 11% 2% - -
60 PAVE Claire 100% 95% 38% 7% 1% - -
61 GU Emily 100% 98% 60% 20% 3% - -
62 XIANG Emma 100% 88% 44% 11% 1% - -
63 MI Anning 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
64 WEINTRAUB Io H. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
65 HOLLE Aviella S. 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
66 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 80% 26% 4% - - -
67 MEYER Claudia 100% 42% 6% - - - -
68 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
68 OETZEL Taylor 100% 38% 3% - - - -
70 CHEN Jasmine 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
71 ZHOU Catherine 100% 76% 17% 2% - - -
72 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 12% - - - - -
73 MEI Sarah 100% 41% 6% - - - -
74 SUSINO Gabriella 100% 11% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.