Turkey Day Slay at NKFA

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 13, 2021 at 2:30 PM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
2 AYUSH Shah 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
3 GERAGHTY Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
3 JONES Elijah 100% 100% 100% 88% 44% 8%
5 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 9%
6 LI Jesse 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
7 SHERWOOD Dominic 100% 100% 100% 93% 57% 13%
8 GRIMSLEY Devin M. 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
9 HAYMAN John 100% 100% 88% 53% 17% 2%
10 KRAJ Pawel 100% 89% 48% 9% -
11 KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. 100% 99% 91% 56% 9%
12 BOHMAN Ryan 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
13 SCHWERIN Willy 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
14 REED Allen 100% 99% 89% 38% 7% -
14 BOTNER Olivia 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
16 KESLER Thomas P. 100% 96% 68% 28% 5% -
17 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 91% 55% 14% 1%
18 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
19 MARTIN Maximilian 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
20 DEMANGONE Reed 100% 66% 11% 1% - -
21 MANAUGH Guy 100% 79% 32% 6% - -
22 BUTLER Joel 100% 55% 14% 1% -
23 HIGGINS John 100% 47% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.