The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Portland ROC - DV1A, DV2 & VET

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, November 13, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Beaverton, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 LEE Andrew O. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
3 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 43%
5 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
6 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
7 BODON Michele I. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
8 LI Brian X 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 9%
9 CHOI Isaac 100% 100% 98% 82% 38% 6%
10 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
11 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
12 SARKAR agniv 100% 94% 57% 18% 3% -
13 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
14 CAI Brian 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
15 GUAN Nathan 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
16 MEHALL Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
17 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1%
18 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 100% 96% 70% 23% 3% -
19 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
20 BEAVER Aaron 100% 25% 2% < 1% - - -
21 CRASWELL Andrew J. 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%
22 KILUK Andrew 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
23 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
24 ZHOU Gavin 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
25 HSU Shion Tian 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
26 JOHNSON Jeff 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
27 GUBALA Lucas 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
28 KLEIN Johannes 100% 89% 51% 13% 1% -
28 ZHOU Justin 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% -
30 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 99% 87% 44% 12% 1% -
31 SARKAR Anish 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
32 ELLINGTON Jeff B. 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
33 STORKEL Adam 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
34 FRANKLIN Ethan 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
35 STOCK Jordan 100% 76% 31% 6% - -
36 DUMKE Alexander 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
37 CROPLEY Theodore 100% 92% 39% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.