November NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
2 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
3 HU William 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
5 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 24%
6 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
7 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
8 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
9 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
9 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
11 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
12 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
13 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 98% 66% 23% 4% < 1%
14 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
15 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
16 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1%
17 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
17 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
19 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
20 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 18%
21 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43% 8%
22 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
22 MARSEE James 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
24 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
25 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
26 OWENS William 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
27 YANG Kevin S. 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
28 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
29 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
30 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 10%
31 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 5% -
32 KANG Brandon M. 100% 97% 80% 50% 21% 5% -
33 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
34 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
35 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 31%
36 CHEN Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 6%
37 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
38 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
39 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
40 WINKLER Lucas G. 100% 100% 100% 94% 59% 18% 2%
41 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
42 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
43 DROZ Camden J. 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
44 GREENWOOD Thomas R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
45 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
46 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
47 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 14%
48 MCFADDEN Shae Q. 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 6%
49 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
50 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
51 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
52 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 4%
53 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
54 AURAY Phileas 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
54 HEATHCOCK Colin 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
56 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
57 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
58 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
59 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
60 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 99% 96% 82% 51% 16%
61 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
62 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 5%
63 NOBLE Daniel 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
63 HE Brendan 100% 100% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
65 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
66 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
67 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
68 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 8%
69 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% 1%
70 YEN Preston 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
71 PASTOR-JOBIN Matis 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
72 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 11%
73 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
74 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
75 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
76 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
77 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 4%
78 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Akhil 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
79 MILLER Levi H. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
80 BAILEY Asher 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
81 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
82 MORREALE John 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
83 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
85 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 7%
86 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 95% 62% 20% 3% - -
87 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
88 LO Joshua H. 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
88 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
90 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
91 SHI Andrew 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
92 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
93 ZHOU Miles 100% 92% 49% 13% 2% - -
94 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
95 RAI Avin 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
96 YATES Colum C. 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% 1%
97 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
98 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
99 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
100 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
101 NG Jonathan H. 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1%
102 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 7%
103 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
104 SINGER Carson 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
105 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
106 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
108 LAHOTSKA Yahor 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
109 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
110 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
111 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
112 POPE Nico 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
113 BERGER Oliver 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
115 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
116 LAUDON Konrad 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
117 BROWNE JR ROLSTON D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
118 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
119 GILLIGAN Wolff 100% 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
120 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 77% 32% 6% - -
121 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
122 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
123 QUAN Nicholas 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
124 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
125 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12% 1%
126 GANTA Vijay 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% 1% -
127 STONE Jack V. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
128 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
129 SMITLEY Tyler J. 100% 100% 93% 60% 18% 2% -
130 LINSKY Matthew 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
130 LIU David J. 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
132 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
133 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
134 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
135 CHEN Oscar 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
136 CABLE Dante 100% 99% 68% 27% 5% - -
137 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
138 LIN William 100% 98% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
139 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
140 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
141 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
142 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
143 MARICONDA Christopher 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 15%
144 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
145 ROPER Evan C. 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 3%
146 BARNETT Peter 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
147 HUANG Eric 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 7% -
148 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
149 KOUNALAKIS Evangelos T. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
150 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
151 RYAN Edward T. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
152 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
152 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
154 TRINH Trevor Z. 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
155 ORPILLA Apolo A. 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
156 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
157 BERMAN Luca 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
157 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
159 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
160 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
161 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
162 LASORSA Matthew 100% 98% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
163 BRUSIE Christopher R. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
164 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
164 TANG Alex Y. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
166 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 97% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
167 BARNEY Corbin 100% 93% 59% 15% 2% - -
168 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 100% 99% 89% 52% 14% 1%
169 BECKER Dylan J. 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
170 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 93% 58% 12%
171 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 74% 27% 3% - -
172 XU Luke 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
173 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
174 MYERS Kaleb S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
175 CHO Brandon 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 12% 2%
176 NARANJO David E. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
177 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2% -
178 LU Timothy 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
179 MORTON-SALMON Sasha 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
180 KEEFE Duncan 100% 90% 53% 12% 1% - -
181 BARBER William S. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
182 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
182 CHENNURU Nischal 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 12% 1%
184 BOUANANI Zachariah I. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
185 WUN William 100% 97% 81% 50% 21% 5% 1%
185 ZHOU Kevin 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
187 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% -
188 KIM Andrew H. 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
189 LUO ZIRUI 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
190 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
191 TANN Justin 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
192 CHEN Lucas B. 100% 96% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
192 DU Gavin J. 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
194 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
195 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
196 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
197 REINSCH-GOLDSTEIN Alexander N. 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% - -
198 BULL Anderson 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
199 YANG Richard 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
200 FANG David 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
201 SAMMI Mukund 100% 84% 35% 7% - -
202 MENTA Varun 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
203 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
204 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
205 LI Joshua L. 100% 94% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
206 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 89% 55% 19% 4% - -
207 HINGNEKAR Aniket 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
208 VAN DER MERWE Fabian 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
209 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 100% 94% 68% 27% 4% - -
210 YOU Jaden 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
211 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
212 RYAN Will 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
212 LEE Conner M. 100% 100% 88% 54% 18% 2% -
214 KOTOV Leonid 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
215 LEFEVRE Colin B. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
215 CONINE Tanner C. 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
215 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
218 CHANG Colin S. 100% 97% 66% 26% 5% 1% -
219 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 4% -
220 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 29% 4% - - - -
221 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
221 VAUGHN Justin T. 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
223 ATEFI Daniel 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
224 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 60% 16% 1% - - -
225 FLORES Peter D. 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
226 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
227 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
228 HURST Alexander 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
229 VAUGHN Michael R. 100% 46% 8% 1% - -
230 TONG ZACHARY 100% 90% 54% 14% 1% -
232 KESSENS Keith J. 100% 22% 2% - - - -
232 HUANG Ian 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
234 HAN William 100% 34% 5% - - - -
235 WU Wilmund 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
236 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Colin 100% 87% 45% 11% 1% - -
236 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 21% 2% - - - -
239 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% - -
239 LEE Justin 100% 99% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
242 ELIN Adam E. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
243 KATZ Daniel 100% 84% 40% 6% - - -
243 LE Hayden 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
246 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
246 GUZZO Vito 100% 28% 3% - - - -
248 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
249 BONSELL Vance 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
249 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
251 GOERING Ashton H. 100% 76% 16% 1% - - -
252 HSU Derek 100% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.