July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, July 23, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Adam J. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
2 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
3 LIMB Matthew G. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
3 LIANG Connor - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
5 HARVEY Nicholas J. - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
6 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
7 MOON Sean H. - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
8 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - - 4% 26% 70%
9 CHAYEVSKY Kirk - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
9 HARLEY Colby A. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
9 HU William - - 1% 7% 26% 45% 22%
12 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
13 LINSKY Matthew - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
14 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
15 BARBER William S. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
16 TANN Justin 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
17 NADILE Henry V. - - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
18 ATTIG Will T. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
19 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - - 3% 23% 74%
20 WOOD Elden S. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
21 BERGER Oliver - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
22 PAN Jerry - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
23 JEAN Noe T. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
24 WIND Nicky E. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
25 HOLZ Daniel 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
26 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - - - 5% 23% 47% 24%
27 JI Cody Walter - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
28 BASALYGA Jeffrey - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
29 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
30 PORTMANN Stein J. 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 1%
31 YUN Jaesun - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
32 MARGULIES William 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
33 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
34 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - - 5% 29% 65%
35 RAI Avin - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
36 NOBLE Daniel - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
37 DINU Nicholas D. - - - 2% 14% 45% 39%
37 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
39 JEFFORDS Alexander - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
40 BOLTON Braydon A. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 19%
41 SOHN Kevin J. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 22%
42 HUSSAIN Faaris - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
43 DODRILL Grant - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 16%
44 ALTIRS Alexander - 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1%
45 KIM Sean G. - - 3% 14% 36% 38% 9%
46 WANG Eric Y. 1% 6% 23% 39% 25% 5%
47 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9%
47 SAKHAMURI Surya - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
49 LIU David J. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
50 KOTOV Leonid - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
51 HOLZ William A. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
52 HAN Daniel Y. - 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
53 SHI Andrew - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
54 CHIN Matthew W. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
55 ZHENG Edward L. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
56 CHANG Colin S. 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
57 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
58 BENAVRAM Lev C. - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
59 LIU kelly 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 1%
60 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
61 JIANG Anthony - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 5%
62 GHAYALOD ansh 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
63 ZHOU Matthew R. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
64 DENG Andrew 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
65 KAYDALIN Artyom - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
66 SO Hananiah - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
67 YANG Ziyi - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
68 TONG ZACHARY - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
69 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
70 CHEN Leo 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
71 JINICH Ilan R. 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
72 XU Luke 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
73 HO Kaden M. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
74 BAUER Hank E. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
75 BRAR Sanjeet 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5% -
76 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
77 KIBBAR Tomer L. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
78 MORRILL Justin - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
79 MAGUIRE Matthew V. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
80 KIM Andrew H. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
81 HONG Steven 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
82 LIN Daniel 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
83 MORRILL William - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 10%
84 MAKLIN Edward P. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
85 MICHNA Colin P. 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
86 HONG Vincent Q. 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
87 LIN John A. - 1% 10% 31% 41% 18%
88 GAFFNEY John M. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
89 YANG Duncan (BoTong) 5% 22% 38% 28% 8% -
90 BECKER Dylan J. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
91 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
92 REYES Xavier M. - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
93 GHENEA George Philipe 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
94 YUN Jake - 2% 12% 31% 35% 16% 2%
95 COLE Alexander - 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
96 KIM Shaun M. 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
97 HONG Marshall Q. - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
98 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
99 DILLREE Spencer S. - 1% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
100 AVAKIAN Alec 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
101 XU William 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
102 HOUTZ Jackson - 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
103 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5% -
104 CHEONG Heonjun 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
105 BROU Inkosi 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
106 EDELMAN Seth A. 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
106 QIU Nathan 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
108 DU Gavin J. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
109 SIMAK Joseph P. - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
110 WOODWARD Connor - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
111 PAN Andrew W. 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
112 HJERPE Wade H. - 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
113 EICHHORN Lukas H. 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
114 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
115 LEITH Jack 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
116 OVERDECK Andrew 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
117 WU Mengke - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
118 REN James 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
119 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
120 LEE Justin 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
120 STONE Esmond A. - 11% 32% 36% 17% 4% -
122 LI Joshua L. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
122 GOLDMAN Noah R. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
124 ERMAKOV Lev - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
125 DEMAREST Iain - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
126 WANG Nicolas 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% - -
127 BERMAN Luca - 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
128 NG Jeremiah 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
129 CHEN Evan P. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
130 LASORSA Matthew - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12% 1%
131 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
132 PIWOWAR Alex 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
133 NOBLE Colin 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
134 SHASHA zane 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
135 BULL Anderson 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
136 OH Triton 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
137 DOLAN Charles R. 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
138 YANG Richard 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
139 ZHANG Derek 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
140 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
141 ZHOU Kevin 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
142 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
143 KIM Alexander M. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
144 ZHANG Jeffrey 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
145 RABINKOV Anthony - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
146 GUZZO Vito 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
146 RAJAN Advait 36% 47% 15% 2% - - -
148 POPE Nico - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
148 VO Minh Q. 7% 47% 35% 10% 1% - -
148 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
148 WU Richard 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -
152 FISK Ethan 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
153 REN Richard 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
154 GREENBAUM Ian L. 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 3% -
155 CHEN Lucas B. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
155 CHON Taylor A. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
157 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 11% 35% 35% 16% 4% - -
158 LU Caleb Q. 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
159 SHOMAN Noah 3% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
160 ZHOU Aeres Z. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
160 SWORDS Evan F. 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
162 CHANG Eliot A. 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
163 ZUBATIY Samuel - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
164 FENG Leo 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
165 LO Alexander 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
166 CHAN Aidan 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
167 KUSHKOV Veniamin 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
168 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 5% 25% 40% 23% 6% -
168 PERRON Robert 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
170 LEE Aydan J. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
170 ROBERTS Sam 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
172 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
172 LIU Mingyang Ryan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
174 CHEONG Heonjae - 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
175 ALTIRS Giorgio 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
176 NARANJO David E. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
177 SHOMAN Zachary 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
178 SCHERER Max 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
179 LIU Christopher X. 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
180 ZHOU Brian 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
181 TANG Alex Y. 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
182 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
183 LEUNG Nathan 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
184 BONSELL Vance 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
185 KUMAR Sachit 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
186 KORINTH Alexander J. 32% 49% 17% 2% - - -
186 CHANIN Liam R. 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
186 ZHOU Miles 4% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
186 HUANG Tom 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
186 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
191 SUN David 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
191 ZHU Charlie 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
193 MISHRA Aadi 78% 20% 1% - - - -
193 DUDNICK Christian 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
195 WONG James T. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
195 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 89% 10% - - - - -
197 VELTZ Tyler J. 94% 6% - - - - -
197 ZHANG Yankun 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
199 REED Samuel J. 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.