July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, July 23, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
2 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
5 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
6 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
7 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
8 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
9 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
9 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
9 HU William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
12 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
13 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
14 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
15 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
16 TANN Justin 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
17 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
18 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 66% 26%
19 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
20 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
21 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
22 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
23 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
24 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
25 HOLZ Daniel 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
26 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
27 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
28 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
29 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
30 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 1%
31 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
32 MARGULIES William 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
33 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
34 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
35 RAI Avin 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
36 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
37 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
37 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
39 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
40 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
41 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
42 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
43 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
44 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
45 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 9%
46 WANG Eric Y. 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
47 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
47 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
49 LIU David J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
50 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
51 HOLZ William A. 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
52 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
53 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
54 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
55 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
56 CHANG Colin S. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
57 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
58 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
59 LIU kelly 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 1%
60 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
61 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
62 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
63 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
64 DENG Andrew 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
65 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
66 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
67 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
68 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
69 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
70 CHEN Leo 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
71 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
72 XU Luke 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
73 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
74 BAUER Hank E. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
75 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
76 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
77 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
78 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
79 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
80 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
81 HONG Steven 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
82 LIN Daniel 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
83 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 10%
84 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
85 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
86 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
87 LIN John A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
88 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
89 YANG Duncan (BoTong) 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% -
90 BECKER Dylan J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10% 1%
91 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
92 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
93 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
94 YUN Jake 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
95 COLE Alexander 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
96 KIM Shaun M. 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
97 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
98 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
99 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
100 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
101 XU William 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
102 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
103 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
104 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
105 BROU Inkosi 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
106 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
106 QIU Nathan 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
108 DU Gavin J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
109 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
110 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
111 PAN Andrew W. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
112 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
113 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
114 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
115 LEITH Jack 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
116 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
117 WU Mengke 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
118 REN James 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
119 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
120 LEE Justin 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
120 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
122 LI Joshua L. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
122 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
124 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 21% 3%
125 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
126 WANG Nicolas 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
127 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
128 NG Jeremiah 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
129 CHEN Evan P. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
130 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
131 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
132 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
133 NOBLE Colin 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
134 SHASHA zane 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
135 BULL Anderson 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
136 OH Triton 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
137 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
138 YANG Richard 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
139 ZHANG Derek 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
140 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
141 ZHOU Kevin 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
142 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
143 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
144 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
145 RABINKOV Anthony 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
146 GUZZO Vito 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
146 RAJAN Advait 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
148 POPE Nico 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
148 VO Minh Q. 100% 93% 46% 11% 1% - -
148 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
148 WU Richard 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
152 FISK Ethan 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
153 REN Richard 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
154 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
155 CHEN Lucas B. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
155 CHON Taylor A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 1%
157 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
158 LU Caleb Q. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
159 SHOMAN Noah 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
160 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
160 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% -
162 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
163 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
164 FENG Leo 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
165 LO Alexander 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
166 CHAN Aidan 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
167 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
168 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 6% -
168 PERRON Robert 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
170 LEE Aydan J. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
170 ROBERTS Sam 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
172 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
172 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
174 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
175 ALTIRS Giorgio 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
176 NARANJO David E. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
177 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
178 SCHERER Max 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
179 LIU Christopher X. 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
180 ZHOU Brian 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
181 TANG Alex Y. 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
182 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
183 LEUNG Nathan 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
184 BONSELL Vance 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
185 KUMAR Sachit 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
186 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 68% 19% 3% - - -
186 CHANIN Liam R. 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
186 ZHOU Miles 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
186 HUANG Tom 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
186 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
191 SUN David 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
191 ZHU Charlie 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
193 MISHRA Aadi 100% 22% 1% - - - -
193 DUDNICK Christian 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
195 WONG James T. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
195 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 100% 11% - - - - -
197 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 6% - - - - -
197 ZHANG Yankun 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
199 REED Samuel J. 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.