USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, July 2, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEINTRAUB Maia M. - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
2 PUSTILNIK Nicole - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
3 DESCHNER Stefani K. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 RHODES Zander - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
5 SCRUGGS Lauren S. - - - - 5% 28% 67%
6 CHO Sabrina N. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
7 JING Emily - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
8 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. - - - 6% 33% 61%
9 GUO Jessica Zi Jia - - - - 3% 25% 72%
10 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. - 2% 13% 37% 40% 8%
11 KIM Rachael 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
12 CAO Arianna L. - 1% 9% 33% 40% 16% 2%
13 DEVORE Delphine P. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
14 LEE Alina - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
15 TIEU May L. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
16 TAFFEL sara - - - 2% 17% 46% 34%
17 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
18 KONG Chin-Yi - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
19 PETROVA Kristina - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
20 ZEISS Madison E. - - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
21 WANG Ellen - 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
22 GRIFFIN Emma G. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
23 SHEN Sophia H. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
24 MYRONIUK Dariia - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
25 LESLIE Ryanne T. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
26 YAROSHENKO Karina - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 2%
27 LEE Brianna J. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
28 LUONG Paige K. - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 3%
29 ZHENG Ivy - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
30 CHUSID Mikayla - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
31 CHENG Evelyn - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
32 LUNG Katerina - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
33 EYER Hailey M. 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% < 1%
34 OH Erin H. 1% 6% 21% 33% 28% 10% 1%
35 LIU Jaelyn A. 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
36 FREEDMAN Miranda W. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
37 CAO Ying - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
38 HO Brianna W. - 2% 15% 38% 33% 10% 1%
39 ZHANG Yunjia - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
40 XUE Alanna L. 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
41 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
42 SERBAN Samantha M. - 4% 14% 29% 31% 18% 4%
43 KOENIG Charlotte R. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
44 KOO Rachel A. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
45 PEVZNER Victoria - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
46 APELIAN Katherine - 2% 13% 31% 37% 17%
47 CHEN Jia P. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
48 FEDELI Caterina S. 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
49 SOOD Ishani S. 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
50 KNIGHT Skylar 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
51 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
52 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
53 ORVANANOS Anice 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
54 KIM Katherine 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
55 TAN Kaitlyn N. 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
56 KOROL Neta 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
57 ZHENG Vivian - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
58 LI Phoebe J. 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
58 CHO Rebecca H. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
60 BREKER Anika 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 3%
61 PARK Rowan M. 2% 14% 33% 34% 16% 3%
61 FANG Sabrina - 1% 8% 27% 41% 24%
63 SENIC Adeline 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
64 HUNG Juliana K. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
65 JO Mia C. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
65 CASTANEDA Erika L. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
67 LI Rachel Y. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
68 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 1% 13% 36% 36% 12% 1%
69 CHEN Allison V. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
70 ADLER Polly Z. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
71 QIAN Crystal - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
72 CRUM Quinn T. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
73 HE Elizabeth W. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
74 LEE Allison (Allie) - 2% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
75 CHO Cameron S. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
76 SHEN Lydia 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
77 LEE Lavender 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% - -
78 ZHANG Alina C. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
79 JING Alexandra - 1% 8% 26% 40% 23% 2%
80 MI Aileen 12% 39% 36% 11% 1% - -
81 MILLER Naomi E. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
82 LUO Sandra J. 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
83 SHENG Chuxi 51% 37% 10% 2% - - -
84 CHEN Jessie S. 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
85 KONG Olivia 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
86 CHO Gracie L. 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
87 KOKES Gabrielle 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
88 TALAVERA Daena 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
89 PAHLAVI Dahlia 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% - -
90 ACHILOVA Feyza 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
91 YU Lauren C. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
92 JØRGENSEN Laeticia Laura Wargniez 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
93 JANG Kimberley 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% -
94 CHEN Chloe I. 52% 38% 10% 1% - -
95 LUKINS Tianji 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
96 PENG Amber L. 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
97 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 33% 42% 20% 5% - -
98 DEBACK Greta I. 6% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
99 KHOO Lauren A. 4% 24% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
100 GLASSON Sophia 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -
101 DE LA CRUZ Eden 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
102 SARTORI Taylor M. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
103 WU Kyra 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
104 ZHAO Sophie L. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
105 HORSLEY Asherah - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
105 LI Shuang 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
107 LOCKE Savannah 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
108 SEMEL Liana M. - 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
109 SUN Ruoxi 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
110 SEO IRENE Y. 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
111 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
112 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% -
113 WU Julianna Y. 7% 35% 41% 14% 2% - -
113 O'NEIL Neve 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
115 SEAL Julie T. 7% 35% 38% 17% 3% -
115 RANDOLPH Piper 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
117 ZHAO Aileen Y. 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
118 WALKER Mayah J. 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
119 DAVIA Daniella V. 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
120 BOLES Sophia 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.