USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, July 2, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
5 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
6 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
7 JING Emily 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
8 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
9 GUO Jessica Zi Jia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
10 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 8%
11 KIM Rachael 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
12 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2%
13 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
14 LEE Alina 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
15 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
16 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
17 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
18 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
19 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
20 ZEISS Madison E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
21 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 8%
22 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
23 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
24 MYRONIUK Dariia 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
25 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
26 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 2%
27 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
28 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
29 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
30 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
31 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
32 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
33 EYER Hailey M. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% < 1%
34 OH Erin H. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
35 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
36 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 8% -
37 CAO Ying 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
38 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 11% 1%
39 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
40 XUE Alanna L. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
41 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
42 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
43 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
44 KOO Rachel A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
45 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
46 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17%
47 CHEN Jia P. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
48 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
49 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
50 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
51 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
52 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
53 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
54 KIM Katherine 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
55 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
56 KOROL Neta 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
57 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
58 LI Phoebe J. 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
58 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
60 BREKER Anika 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
61 PARK Rowan M. 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
61 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
63 SENIC Adeline 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
64 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
65 JO Mia C. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
65 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
67 LI Rachel Y. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
68 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 99% 85% 49% 13% 1%
69 CHEN Allison V. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
70 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
71 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
72 CRUM Quinn T. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
73 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
74 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
75 CHO Cameron S. 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
76 SHEN Lydia 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
77 LEE Lavender 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
78 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
79 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 2%
80 MI Aileen 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% - -
81 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
82 LUO Sandra J. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
83 SHENG Chuxi 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
84 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
85 KONG Olivia 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
86 CHO Gracie L. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
87 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
88 TALAVERA Daena 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
89 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
90 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
91 YU Lauren C. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
92 JØRGENSEN Laeticia Laura Wargniez 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
93 JANG Kimberley 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% -
94 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
95 LUKINS Tianji 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 3%
96 PENG Amber L. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
97 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% -
98 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
99 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 96% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
100 GLASSON Sophia 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
101 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
102 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
103 WU Kyra 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
104 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
105 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
105 LI Shuang 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
107 LOCKE Savannah 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
108 SEMEL Liana M. 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
109 SUN Ruoxi 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
110 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
111 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
112 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
113 WU Julianna Y. 100% 93% 57% 16% 2% - -
113 O'NEIL Neve 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
115 SEAL Julie T. 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% -
115 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
117 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
118 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
119 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
120 BOLES Sophia 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.