USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, July 2, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARLEY Colby A. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
3 LINSKY Matthew - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
5 WOOD Elden S. - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
6 MORRILL William - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
7 HARVEY Nicholas J. - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
8 LO Joshua H. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
9 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
10 LIANG Connor - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
10 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
12 KOGAN Benjamin - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
13 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
14 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
15 DENNER Lysander H. - - 1% 10% 29% 39% 20%
16 WONG Ryan - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 1%
17 ERMAKOV Lev - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
18 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
19 LILOV Neil - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
19 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
21 HOLZ Daniel - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
22 JIANG Anthony - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
23 BERGER Oliver - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 10%
24 XU William - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
25 YUN Jaesun - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
26 WANG Robert 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
27 PAN Jerry - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 5%
28 XUE ALEXANDER - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
29 LIMB Matthew G. - - - 5% 30% 65%
30 HAMMERSTROM Jared - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
31 RAI Avin - - 6% 26% 43% 24%
32 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
33 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
34 HONG Vincent Q. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
35 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
36 WILSON Jude - 3% 20% 40% 29% 7%
37 LEE Aydan J. 2% 13% 33% 36% 16% 2%
38 LAI Adam J. - - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
39 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
40 ZUBATIY Samuel - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
41 DODRILL Grant - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
42 LIU kelly - - 4% 18% 41% 32% 4%
43 SIMAK Joseph P. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
43 CHOI Silas - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
45 DENNER Maximilian P. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
46 CHON Taylor A. - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
47 MORRILL Justin - 1% 11% 35% 39% 13%
48 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - 1% 12% 35% 39% 14%
49 CHIN Matthew W. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
50 KIM Andrew H. 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
51 LEE Justin 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 7%
52 MARGULIES William - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
53 TONG ZACHARY - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
54 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
55 SCHERER Max 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
56 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
57 TANN Justin - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
58 SO Hananiah - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
59 MORALES Jonathan 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
60 HONG Steven 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
61 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
62 VO Minh Q. 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
63 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
64 KOTOV Leonid - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
65 CHAN Matthew - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
66 KIM Shaun M. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
67 GEFELL Andrew P. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
68 HJERPE Wade H. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 6%
68 KIM-COGAN Ryan - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
70 JOHNSON Langston C. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
70 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
72 BUCHMANN Finn D. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
72 SHOMAN Noah - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
74 ZHENG Edward L. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
75 BULL Anderson - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 3%
75 STONE Esmond A. - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
77 HOUTZ Jackson - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
78 EICHHORN Lukas H. - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
79 POPE Nico - 2% 14% 37% 38% 10%
80 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
80 YANG Richard - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
82 YOUNG Nash - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
83 PRIMUS Nazir 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
84 BERRIO Carter E. - 5% 22% 40% 28% 4%
85 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
86 YUN Jake - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
87 NOBLE Daniel - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
88 SAKHAMURI Surya - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
89 JI Cody Walter - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
90 REN James 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
91 BERMAN Luca - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
92 EDELMAN Seth A. 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
93 LUO George F. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
94 SANDERS Samuel B. 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
94 WU Roger (Mengke) - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
96 PANDEY Neil 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
97 WANG Nicolas 1% 14% 39% 34% 11% 1%
98 YANG Duncan (BoTong) 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
99 KIM Matthew 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 1%
100 LO Alexander 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
101 HUSSAIN Faaris - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
101 HOLZ William A. - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
103 WANG Charles 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
104 KROON Lucas 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
105 JINICH Ilan R. - 1% 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
106 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
107 GHENEA George Philipe - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
108 FENG Leo - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
109 MAKLIN Edward P. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
110 LIU Jonathan M. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
110 WANG Eric Y. - - 5% 19% 37% 32% 7%
112 REN Richard - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
113 QIU Nathan 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
114 CHAVES Matthew J. 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
115 GHAYALOD Ansh - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
116 ZHOU Miles - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
117 CADAMBI Roshan - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
118 BRAR Sanjeet - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22% 2%
119 AN Chihun - 6% 29% 40% 21% 4%
120 JEFFORDS Alexander - - < 1% 3% 17% 41% 39%
121 LIM William J. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
122 GUAN Luke 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
123 SU Landon 1% 16% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
124 PATIL Aaryan A. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
125 RIGHTLER Samuel - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
126 LAU Justin Y. 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
127 GAFFNEY John M. - 8% 31% 40% 18% 2%
128 VENU Ram 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
129 NG Jeremiah 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
130 CHEONG Heonjun - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
131 CHANG Colin S. - 3% 16% 33% 33% 14% 1%
132 WU Wilmund 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
133 MURZYN III CJ 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
134 OH Triton 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
135 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
136 BAE Jason I. 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
137 ZHANG Derek 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
138 LUTHRA Arjun - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
139 KIM Avery J. - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
139 DENG Andrew - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
141 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 3% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
142 HAN Daniel Y. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
142 CHEN Evan P. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
144 WIND Nicky E. - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 18%
145 LO Andrew T. 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
146 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
147 HO Kaden M. - 1% 12% 36% 41% 10%
148 SHOMAN Zachary 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
149 DOLAN Charles R. 1% 10% 34% 39% 15% 1%
150 LE Hayden 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
151 BYON Adrian 3% 17% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
152 CAISSE Simon B. 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
153 FLOT Tai A. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
154 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
155 BAUER Hank E. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
156 REYES Xavier M. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
157 YANG Ziyi - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
158 HUROWITZ Max 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
159 DIACOS Jordan - 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
160 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
160 TENG Matthew 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
162 NIL Michael Y. - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
163 WOODWARD Connor - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
163 NARANJO David E. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
163 AN Damon 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
166 HAN Edward 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
167 RESHEIDAT Malik 1% 8% 29% 39% 19% 4% -
168 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 2% 16% 38% 32% 10% 1% -
169 NOURELDIN Gabriel 2% 15% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
170 ZHANG Ethan W. 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
171 RAMANAN Jaisimh 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
172 FIELDS Matthew S. 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 2% -
173 KIM Alexander M. 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
174 CHTERENTAL Alex 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
175 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
175 PI Alexander 34% 41% 20% 4% - -
177 KUMAR Sachit 5% 55% 33% 7% 1% -
178 DELARUE NELSON Y. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
178 ZENG Noah 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
180 PIWOWAR Alex 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
181 TAO Jeffrey 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
182 ZHOU James Y. 37% 45% 16% 2% - -
183 AVAKIAN Alec - 2% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
184 REED Samuel J. 25% 47% 23% 5% - - -
185 SWORDS Evan F. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
186 GLOZMAN Justin 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
187 RHEE Ethan N. 1% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
188 COVINGTON Max G. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
188 ZEWDA Kebron 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
190 WANG Andy 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
190 RICHER Tyler 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
192 XU Andrew - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
193 CHAN Aidan 30% 47% 20% 4% - - -
193 YOU Jaden 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
195 KUSHKOV Veniamin 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
196 PAN Alex 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
197 WEBER Mattias A. 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
198 CHEONG Heonjae 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
198 LEITH Jack 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
200 GILPIN Samuel 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
201 MICLAUS Justin - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
202 FLITSANOV Macabee 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
203 LUHMAN Gabriel 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
204 TASIKAS Stylianos 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
205 SHI Jeremy 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
206 ZHU Charlie 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
207 LU Caleb Q. 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
208 GINSBERG jordan 6% 38% 39% 15% 2% -
209 LIN Daniel 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
209 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 6% 38% 39% 15% 2% -
211 LO Konnor 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
212 VOSS Jeffer 35% 43% 19% 3% - -
213 YUAN Kevin 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
214 MAY Griffin M. 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
215 YEN Preston - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
216 PARK Caleb 68% 28% 4% - - -
217 GUO Ethan 57% 34% 8% 1% - -
218 GOLDIN Lucca 23% 47% 25% 5% - -
219 HONG Rubin 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
220 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
220 WONG James T. 3% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
222 BEITEL Noah 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
223 BONSELL Vance 8% 32% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
223 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
225 COLE Alexander 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
225 SINGH Angadh 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
227 JANG Junhyuk 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
228 LOPEZ Lucas M. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
228 SCHARDINE James 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
228 SIDDIQUI Shayan 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
231 GRAINGER Graeme 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
232 NOBLE Colin 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
232 POSY Daniel 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
234 RODGERS Jacob 71% 26% 3% - - - -
235 THORNHILL Kwasi 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
235 JAIN Aniket 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
237 NIETO Titus P. 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
238 LANNAMAN Connor 10% 45% 34% 10% 1% - -
239 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
240 SMINK Oliver 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
241 HUANG Connor 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
242 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% - -
242 SHANKAR Karthik 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
242 SCHIRF Aidan 63% 32% 5% - - - -
245 HOPPA Luke H. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
246 KAPOOR Tanmay 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
247 KIBBAR Tomer L. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
248 DEKA Tanush 22% 45% 27% 6% 1% - -
249 NEVILLE James 18% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
250 YANG Dylan 3% 21% 43% 26% 6% 1%
251 BIRKS Evan D. 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
251 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
253 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
254 BYON Julian 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
254 DUDNICK Christian 34% 42% 19% 4% 1% - -
256 PERRON Robert 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
256 VAUGHN Jason 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
256 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 38% 45% 15% 2% - - -
259 RAMANAN Govind 31% 46% 19% 3% - - -
260 CHENG Hong 51% 37% 10% 1% - -
261 TSAI Michael T. 64% 30% 5% - - - -
261 YAN Leonard Z. 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
261 WU Richard 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
261 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 69% 27% 4% - - - -
261 CLARK Keagan 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
266 CENTENO Zachary 69% 27% 4% - - -
267 ZHANG Yankun 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
268 HENDERSON Jack 88% 11% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.