USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, July 2, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
5 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
6 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
7 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
8 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
9 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
10 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
10 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
12 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
13 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
14 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
15 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
16 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
17 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
18 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
19 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
19 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
21 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
22 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
23 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
24 XU William 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
25 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
26 WANG Robert 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
27 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5%
28 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
29 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
30 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
31 RAI Avin 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 24%
32 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
33 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
34 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
35 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
36 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
37 LEE Aydan J. 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
38 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
39 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
40 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
41 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
42 LIU kelly 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36% 4%
43 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
43 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
45 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
46 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
47 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
48 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
49 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
50 KIM Andrew H. 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
51 LEE Justin 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
52 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
53 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
54 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
55 SCHERER Max 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
56 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
57 TANN Justin 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
58 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
59 MORALES Jonathan 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
60 HONG Steven 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2%
61 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
62 VO Minh Q. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
63 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
64 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
65 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
66 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
67 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
68 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
68 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
70 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
70 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
72 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
72 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
74 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
75 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 3%
75 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
77 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
78 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
79 POPE Nico 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
80 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
80 YANG Richard 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
82 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
83 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
84 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 4%
85 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
86 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
87 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
88 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
89 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
90 REN James 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
91 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
92 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
93 LUO George F. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
94 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
94 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
96 PANDEY Neil 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
97 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 85% 46% 11% 1%
98 YANG Duncan (BoTong) 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
99 KIM Matthew 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 1%
100 LO Alexander 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
101 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
101 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
103 WANG Charles 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
104 KROON Lucas 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
105 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
106 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
107 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
108 FENG Leo 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
109 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
110 LIU Jonathan M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
110 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 7%
112 REN Richard 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
113 QIU Nathan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
114 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
115 GHAYALOD Ansh 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
116 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
117 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
118 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 2%
119 AN Chihun 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4%
120 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
121 LIM William J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
122 GUAN Luke 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
123 SU Landon 100% 99% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
124 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
125 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
126 LAU Justin Y. 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% - -
127 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 100% 91% 60% 20% 2%
128 VENU Ram 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
129 NG Jeremiah 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
130 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
131 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
132 WU Wilmund 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
133 MURZYN III CJ 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
134 OH Triton 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
135 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
136 BAE Jason I. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
137 ZHANG Derek 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
138 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
139 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
139 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
141 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
142 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
142 CHEN Evan P. 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
144 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
145 LO Andrew T. 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
146 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
147 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 10%
148 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
149 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 99% 90% 55% 16% 1%
150 LE Hayden 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
151 BYON Adrian 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
152 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 97% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
153 FLOT Tai A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
154 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
155 BAUER Hank E. 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
156 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
157 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
158 HUROWITZ Max 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
159 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
160 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
160 TENG Matthew 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
162 NIL Michael Y. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
163 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
163 NARANJO David E. 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
163 AN Damon 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
166 HAN Edward 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
167 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
168 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
169 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
170 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
171 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
172 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2% -
173 KIM Alexander M. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
174 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
175 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
175 PI Alexander 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% -
177 KUMAR Sachit 100% 95% 40% 8% 1% -
178 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
178 ZENG Noah 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
180 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
181 TAO Jeffrey 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
182 ZHOU James Y. 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
183 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
184 REED Samuel J. 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
185 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
186 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
187 RHEE Ethan N. 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
188 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
188 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
190 WANG Andy 100% 92% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
190 RICHER Tyler 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
192 XU Andrew 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
193 CHAN Aidan 100% 70% 23% 4% - - -
193 YOU Jaden 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
195 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
196 PAN Alex 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
197 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
198 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
198 LEITH Jack 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
200 GILPIN Samuel 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
201 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
202 FLITSANOV Macabee 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
203 LUHMAN Gabriel 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
204 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
205 SHI Jeremy 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
206 ZHU Charlie 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
207 LU Caleb Q. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
208 GINSBERG jordan 100% 94% 56% 17% 2% -
209 LIN Daniel 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1%
209 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 100% 94% 56% 17% 2% -
211 LO Konnor 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
212 VOSS Jeffer 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
213 YUAN Kevin 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
214 MAY Griffin M. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
215 YEN Preston 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9%
216 PARK Caleb 100% 32% 4% - - -
217 GUO Ethan 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
218 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 77% 31% 5% - -
219 HONG Rubin 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
220 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
220 WONG James T. 100% 97% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
222 BEITEL Noah 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
223 BONSELL Vance 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
223 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
225 COLE Alexander 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
225 SINGH Angadh 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
227 JANG Junhyuk 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
228 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
228 SCHARDINE James 100% 96% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
228 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
231 GRAINGER Graeme 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
232 NOBLE Colin 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
232 POSY Daniel 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
234 RODGERS Jacob 100% 29% 4% - - - -
235 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
235 JAIN Aniket 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
237 NIETO Titus P. 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
238 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 90% 45% 11% 1% - -
239 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
240 SMINK Oliver 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
241 HUANG Connor 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
242 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
242 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
242 SCHIRF Aidan 100% 37% 5% - - - -
245 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 93% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
246 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -
247 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
248 DEKA Tanush 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
249 NEVILLE James 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
250 YANG Dylan 100% 97% 76% 33% 7% 1%
251 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
251 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
253 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
254 BYON Julian 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
254 DUDNICK Christian 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
256 PERRON Robert 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
256 VAUGHN Jason 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
256 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
259 RAMANAN Govind 100% 69% 22% 4% - - -
260 CHENG Hong 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
261 TSAI Michael T. 100% 36% 6% - - - -
261 YAN Leonard Z. 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
261 WU Richard 100% 93% 62% 23% 5% - -
261 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 31% 4% - - - -
261 CLARK Keagan 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
266 CENTENO Zachary 100% 31% 4% - - -
267 ZHANG Yankun 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
268 HENDERSON Jack 100% 12% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.