USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, July 3, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIN Isabella - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
2 XIAO Ruien - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
3 LIN Jessica Y. - - - - 2% 21% 76%
3 HU Grace - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
5 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - - 1% 13% 87%
5 GU Sarah - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
7 FALLON Kyle R. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
8 LEE Michelle J. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
9 PARK Faith K. - - - - 2% 18% 80%
10 LIN Waiyuk - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
11 KETKAR Ketki - - - - 4% 27% 69%
12 GAJJALA Sharika R. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
13 LEUNG Natalie - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
14 WU Amelia - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
15 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
16 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
17 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
18 ZHANG Tina Tianyi - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
18 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
20 XUAN Nicole J. - - 1% 10% 30% 41% 17%
21 KETKAR Mallika - - 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
22 MEHROTRA Anya - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
23 YIN Julia - 2% 12% 31% 37% 18% 1%
24 KUZNETSOV Victoria - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
25 DING Jiahe (Heidi) - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
26 KORFONTA Jolie - - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10%
27 YAO Melinda - 4% 16% 32% 33% 14% 1%
28 WATRALL Christina - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
29 PAPADAKIS Lily - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
30 WANG Elizabeth - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
31 GANDHI Sedna S. - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
32 YANG Alisa - 3% 14% 29% 33% 17% 3%
33 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
34 WEISS Talia L. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
35 TYLER Syd - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
35 BEI Karen - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
37 CHEN Lefu - - 2% 11% 34% 42% 12%
38 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
39 CAPELLUA Mariasole - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
40 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - - 4% 17% 38% 32% 9%
41 ZUHARS Renee A. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
42 NING Emma - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
43 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 12%
44 REID Sobia - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
45 LUO Ashley - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 12%
46 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
47 KIM Zoe L. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
48 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
49 LEE Sumin - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
50 LU Junyao - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 1%
51 NGUYEN Tallulah - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
52 SEMIKIN Julia - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
53 SMITH Grace L. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
54 ZIGALO Elizabeth - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
55 LEANG Priscilla Y. - 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
56 SHEN Stephanie 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
57 JAKEL Sophia N. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
58 DESAI Meera P. - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
59 SHARMA Sanvi 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
60 WANG Karen - - - 3% 15% 42% 40%
61 KALE Anika A. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
62 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
63 REID Anousheh - 1% 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
64 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 6% -
65 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
66 LIN Katie Y. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
67 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
68 CALDERA Lexi I. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
69 FELAND Alexandra - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
70 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
71 WITTE Vera - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
72 JOYCE Michaela - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
73 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
74 SHU Youshan 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
75 SU Evelyn 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
76 MAO Amy - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 11%
77 ZHANG Victoria R. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22% 1%
78 BAJAJ Nikita K. - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
79 LEEDER Elizabeth 3% 24% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
80 DU Shunyi（Wendy） 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
80 WU Fan - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
82 NGUYEN Kira - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
83 REMEZA Alissa - 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
84 EDWARDS Auprell - 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
85 COBERT Helen G. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
85 WEBER Nora - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
87 CHIRASHNYA Noya 1% 18% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
88 GUMAGAY Erika L. - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
88 HONG Elaine 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
90 GITHENS Gracyn J. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
91 LIU Nicole 1% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
92 DOUGLAS Julia F. - 2% 11% 32% 38% 15% 2%
93 YU Nicole J. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
94 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 19% 3%
95 PADHYE Tanishka - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
96 KIM Jayna 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
97 LIN Elaine - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
98 KENT Elizabeth J. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
99 LAN Alice S. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
100 LI Fei 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
101 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
102 LIU Christina A. - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
102 SWENSON Nikita G. 3% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
104 SMOTRITSKY Mia - 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 1%
105 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
105 DONDISCH Sophia 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
107 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
108 LEE Olivia 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
109 MINOR Lindsey - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
110 YAO Yilin 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
111 STOECKEL Sofia I. 9% 40% 37% 12% 2% - -
112 BOLES Sophia 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
112 YOU Emily 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 2% -
114 SMUK Daria A. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
115 GILKES Sanojah Ruby 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
116 LI Alisha - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
117 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
118 HUANG NATALIE 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
119 RUNIONS Emersyn - 1% 9% 28% 40% 20% 1%
120 WITTER Catherine A. 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
121 MUN Brianna K. - 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
121 SUN Renee R. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
123 SMUK Alexandra S. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
124 SINHA Zara 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
125 RANDLEMAN Teresa 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
126 XIONG Angelica 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
127 ZHU Serene M. 1% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
128 LAVERY Chloe K. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
129 LONADIER Keira - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
130 MIINEA Elena 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
131 HICKS Grace 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
132 CHANG Ella 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
133 SPRINGER Sierra 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
134 SONG Angela 2% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
135 ANDERSON Claire 2% 22% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
136 TYTELL Elizabeth 18% 43% 29% 9% 1% - -
137 MCLANE Lauren - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
138 BUSH Emma 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
139 PEHLIVANI Zara - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
140 PAN Michelle 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
141 WANG Nora - - 3% 15% 35% 37% 10%
141 TAN Jocelyn 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
143 HSIU Elizabeth 16% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
144 MING Cynthia 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
145 MESCHIA Maggie 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
146 RUMMEL Katherine E. 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
147 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
148 CHOI Grace 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
149 GAO Judy - 5% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
150 POTAPENKO Margarita D. - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
150 NEISINGH Isabelle 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
152 BECKMAN Ana 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
153 HAFEEZ Hania 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
154 YAO KATHARINE - 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
155 XU Katelyn 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
156 SAAL Anna 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
156 KORKIN Alice 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
158 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
159 WANG Angelina 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
160 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
161 PINNAMANENI Drithi 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
162 CHANG Celine A. 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% - -
163 ELSTON Sophia 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
164 GUJJA Misha 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
165 PEELER Julia 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
166 ENRILE Erica 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
167 LIN Ashley 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
168 LEE Yedda 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
169 LI Charlotte 4% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
170 LEWIS Rachel 33% 44% 20% 4% - - -
171 BENZAN India 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
172 CHA Eugenie 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
173 SENYUVA Su 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
174 KUKVA Taisiya 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
175 LI Suri 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
176 POPOVICI Alina B. 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
177 CARRIER Meredith 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
178 CHANG Ella 11% 46% 33% 9% 1% - -
179 MAGALSKI Mary 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
180 LEE Kaitlyn M. 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
181 QI Jarynne Valerie 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
182 LU Shiqi - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
183 NEMETH Katherine 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
184 WONG Alexandra R. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
184 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia 2% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
186 MUELLER Emma M. 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
187 VICKERMAN Lilly 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
188 PANT Anisha 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
189 LEE Natasha - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
190 LEE yat ching 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
191 HABERMAN Hailey 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
192 DALEY Keira 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
193 NGUYEN Audrey 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
194 SUN MANRONG 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
195 FENG ge - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7% -
196 FURMAN Maria 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
197 YOU Isabel B. 15% 40% 32% 11% 1% - -
197 SOTELO Michelle 32% 48% 18% 3% - - -
199 NGUYEN Ashley L. 35% 47% 16% 2% - - -
199 ZENG Katrina 7% 40% 37% 14% 3% - -
201 PRIHODKO Nina 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
202 HESS Heidi J. 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 5% -
203 KIZILBASH Zara 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
203 MCKENNA Analise 75% 23% 2% - - - -
205 HUANG Lanlan 9% 32% 38% 17% 4% - -
206 NELSON Grace E. 27% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
207 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
208 AI Amy 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
209 BARBARA Camille 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
210 PARKS Eliana 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
211 NIEMAN Aubrey 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
212 KELLY Jenna 13% 33% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
213 LOUIE Sarah 70% 27% 3% - - - -
214 MIRZA Annoshae 61% 33% 6% - - - -
214 SIMHADRI Meghana 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
216 MACEY Hadley 65% 31% 4% - - - -
216 MIHILL Margaret 74% 23% 3% - - - -
218 NIEMAN Anjolie 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
218 PEARSON Heila 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
220 ZHENG Linden 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
221 HAU Olivia 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
221 DONDISCH Andrea 63% 31% 6% - - - -
223 DUONG Zoey 33% 44% 19% 4% - - -
223 VICKERMAN Eva 81% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.