USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Saber

Tuesday, July 5, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 CHOI Silas - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
3 ERMAKOV Lev - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
3 WANG Charles - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 12%
5 ZUBATIY Samuel - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
6 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
7 BAE Jason I. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
8 XU Andrew - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
9 MORRILL William - - - - 3% 26% 71%
10 CHEONG Heonjun - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
11 KOGAN Benjamin - - - 4% 18% 43% 34%
12 BERRIO Carter E. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
13 KIM Shaun M. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
14 WANG Robert 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
15 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
16 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
17 YUN Jaesun - - - - 5% 31% 64%
18 QIU Nathan - - 1% 9% 30% 44% 16%
19 YUN Jake - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
20 DENG Andrew - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
21 AVAKIAN Alec - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
22 SHOMAN Noah - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 13%
23 LEE Justin - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
24 PRIMUS Nazir - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
25 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 1% 7% 29% 45% 18%
26 ZHENG Edward L. - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
27 CHAN Matthew - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
28 KIM Alexander M. - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
29 LO Konnor - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11% 1%
30 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
31 KROON Lucas - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
32 RHEE Ethan N. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
33 JIANG Anthony - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
33 HOLZ Daniel - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
35 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
35 CHON Taylor A. - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
37 MICLAUS Justin - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
38 WILSON Jude - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
39 HJERPE Wade H. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
40 WANG Eric Y. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
40 CHOW William T. 8% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
42 HOLZ William A. - - 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
43 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
44 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 2% 12% 42% 44%
45 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
45 GILSON Lucas B. 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
47 SIMAK Joseph P. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
48 LUO George F. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
49 ZHANG Ethan W. - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
50 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
51 EICHHORN Lukas H. - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 16%
52 RAMANAN Jaisimh 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
53 KANG evan - 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 2%
54 PAN Alex - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
55 HUROWITZ Max 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
55 KUMAR Sachit - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
57 OH Triton - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
58 AN Chihun - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
59 CHTERENTAL Alex - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
60 KWALWASSER Eric - 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
60 ELLS Edward - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
62 TENG Matthew - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
63 LUTHRA Arjun - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
64 GUAN Dennis 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
65 ZENG Noah - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
66 HONG Steven - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
67 STONE Esmond A. - - 1% 9% 31% 44% 14%
68 TAO Jeffrey - - 3% 16% 39% 36% 6%
69 STURN Oliver - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
70 PANDEY Neil - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
71 COOK Cole - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
72 SHAHZAD Azlan A. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
73 GAO Albert - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
74 SHOMAN Zachary - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
75 LIM William J. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
76 YANG Dylan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
77 LEE Aydan J. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
78 PERRON Robert 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
79 PI Alexander 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
80 THORNHILL Kwasi - 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
81 WOODWARD Connor - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
82 WANG Nicolas - 3% 14% 31% 34% 15% 2%
83 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 3%
84 GONG Jerry - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
85 DUDNICK Christian 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
86 PATIL Aaryan A. - - 3% 14% 36% 37% 10%
87 WU Richard 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
88 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 3%
89 ANAND Rohan - 4% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
90 GUFFEY Christopher 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
91 HUANG Alex F. - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
92 HU Christopher 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
93 MAY Griffin M. 5% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1%
94 REN James - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
95 ENGEL Peter 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
96 FENG Leo - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
97 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
98 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
99 KILARI Krish 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
99 SINGH Angadh - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
101 KUSHKOV Daniel 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
102 LIN Daniel 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
103 PASTORE LIU Vince - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1%
104 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
105 SU Landon - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
106 PATRICO Peter 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
107 BOSITA Carson 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
108 POSY Daniel 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
109 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
110 TURCK Caspar J. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
111 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
112 POFF Kainoa 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
113 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 1% 10% 31% 40% 18% 1%
114 HUANG Connor 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
115 FIRSTMAN William B. 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
116 CHENG Hong 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
117 ZHOU James Y. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
118 NGUYEN Anthony 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
119 CHEN Lohen 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
119 GLOZMAN Justin - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
121 ZHANG Derek - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
122 BRANDT Jaden 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
123 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 25% 6%
124 SMINK Oliver 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
125 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
126 WEBER Mattias A. 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
127 TASIKAS Stylianos 5% 23% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
128 CRAIG Samuel 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
129 CHEEMA Hyder 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
130 BYON Adrian - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
131 BYON Julian 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
132 KALPATHY Rohit 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
133 SHANKAR Karthik 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
134 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
135 YERRAMILLI Tejas 2% 18% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
136 KO Zuriel 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
137 SOWERS Samuel 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
138 HAN Edward 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
139 BODKIN Jake M. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
140 SHANKWILER Christopher 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
141 DECK Tyson 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
142 CARL Ryan 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
143 ZHOU Grant 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
144 BERA Enzo - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
145 CHEN Evan P. - 5% 21% 41% 29% 3%
146 DEKA Tanush 10% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
147 ZHANG Jeffrey - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
148 CHAN Aidan 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
149 FIELDS Matthew S. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1%
150 ANTHONY Devyn V. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
151 RAMANAN Govind 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
152 LO Bradley 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
153 TSAI Michael T. 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
154 MONTALVO ashur 9% 51% 33% 7% 1% - -
155 VAUGHN Jason 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
156 GAO Marcus 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
157 SHIPITSIN Alexander 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
158 LIN Philip T. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
159 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
160 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
161 GAUVEY Kieran 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
162 VOSS Jeffer 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
163 LEE Noah 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
164 GOLDIN Lucca 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
165 RAMTEKKAR Soham 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
166 ZHENG LEON 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
167 EYBELMAN Ariel 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
168 LAU Justin Y. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
169 HOTHA Nikhil 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
170 BROU Inkosi 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
171 GINSBERG jordan 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
172 MORALES Jonathan 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
173 VENU Ram 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
174 ATWOOD Griffin 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
175 FAYETTE Julien 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
176 TANG Charles 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
177 LAUB William 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
178 FELDMAN Drew - 1% 9% 33% 40% 15% 2%
179 JAIN Aniket 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
180 YAN Kevin 27% 43% 24% 5% 1% - -
181 ONG Chinli 26% 44% 23% 6% 1% - -
182 LUHAN Zachary 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
183 ZHAO Lucas 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
184 KERCHER Alexander 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
185 KANG Evan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
186 MUNGUIA Nathan 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
187 SHINCHUK Daniel 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
187 NG Jeremiah - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
189 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
189 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
189 WEINSTEIN Nate 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
192 SIDDIQUI Shayan - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7% 1%
192 HWANG Jayden 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
194 GOLD Carter 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
195 HO Jacob 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
196 NIETO Titus P. 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
196 SUGIURA Samuel 1% 20% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
198 XIA Eric 10% 38% 36% 14% 2% - -
199 GERSTMANN Max T. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
200 TUNG Ryan 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
200 FOX Gavin 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
202 HOPPA Luke H. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
203 KUSANAGI Soshi 85% 14% 1% - - - -
204 WANG Yifan 68% 28% 4% - - - -
205 SHETTY VIVAN 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
206 MONTALVO Emmeric 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% - -
207 SAVOY Luca 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1%
208 FLITSANOV Macabee 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
209 WITCZAK Mateus 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
210 TSAO Oliver 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
211 GUO Ethan 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
212 HENDERSON Jack 40% 42% 16% 2% - - -
213 BOULAIS Andrew D. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
214 HUNG Samuel 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
214 PRIEUR Christian F. 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
214 SINGER Marcus 39% 42% 17% 3% - - -
214 RODGERS Jacob 67% 28% 5% - - - -
218 BARROWS Hunter 63% 31% 6% - - - -
219 MUNGOVAN Matthew 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.