USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Saber

Tuesday, July 5, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
2 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
3 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 WANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
5 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
7 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
8 XU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
9 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
10 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
11 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
12 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
13 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
14 WANG Robert 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
15 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
16 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
17 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
18 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 16%
19 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
20 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
21 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
22 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
23 LEE Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
24 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
25 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 18%
26 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
27 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
28 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
29 LO Konnor 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
30 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
31 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
32 RHEE Ethan N. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
33 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 27%
33 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
35 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
35 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
37 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
38 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
39 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
40 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
40 CHOW William T. 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
42 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 13%
43 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 35%
44 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
45 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
45 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
47 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
48 LUO George F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
49 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
50 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
51 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
52 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
53 KANG evan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
54 PAN Alex 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 11% 1%
55 HUROWITZ Max 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
55 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
57 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
58 AN Chihun 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
59 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
60 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
60 ELLS Edward 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
62 TENG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
63 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
64 GUAN Dennis 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
65 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
66 HONG Steven 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
67 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 14%
68 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 6%
69 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
70 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
71 COOK Cole 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
72 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
73 GAO Albert 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
74 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
75 LIM William J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
76 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
77 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
78 PERRON Robert 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
79 PI Alexander 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
80 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
81 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
82 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
83 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 3%
84 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
85 DUDNICK Christian 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
86 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
87 WU Richard 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
88 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
89 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
90 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
91 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
92 HU Christopher 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
93 MAY Griffin M. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
94 REN James 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
95 ENGEL Peter 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
96 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
97 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
98 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
99 KILARI Krish 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
99 SINGH Angadh 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
101 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
102 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
103 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
104 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
105 SU Landon 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
106 PATRICO Peter 100% 98% 82% 48% 18% 3% -
107 BOSITA Carson 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
108 POSY Daniel 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
109 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
110 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
111 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
112 POFF Kainoa 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
113 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 1%
114 HUANG Connor 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
115 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
116 CHENG Hong 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
117 ZHOU James Y. 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
118 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
119 CHEN Lohen 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
119 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
121 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
122 BRANDT Jaden 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
123 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
124 SMINK Oliver 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
125 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
126 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 4% -
127 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
128 CRAIG Samuel 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
129 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
130 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
131 BYON Julian 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
132 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
133 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
134 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
135 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 98% 81% 37% 8% 1% -
136 KO Zuriel 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
137 SOWERS Samuel 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
138 HAN Edward 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
139 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
140 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
141 DECK Tyson 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
142 CARL Ryan 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
143 ZHOU Grant 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
144 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
145 CHEN Evan P. 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 3%
146 DEKA Tanush 100% 90% 56% 18% 3% -
147 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
148 CHAN Aidan 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
149 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 99% 92% 66% 32% 8% 1%
150 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
151 RAMANAN Govind 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
152 LO Bradley 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
153 TSAI Michael T. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
154 MONTALVO ashur 100% 91% 40% 7% 1% - -
155 VAUGHN Jason 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
156 GAO Marcus 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2% -
157 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
158 LIN Philip T. 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
159 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
160 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
161 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
162 VOSS Jeffer 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 4% -
163 LEE Noah 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
164 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
165 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
166 ZHENG LEON 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
167 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
168 LAU Justin Y. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
169 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% -
170 BROU Inkosi 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
171 GINSBERG jordan 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
172 MORALES Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
173 VENU Ram 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
174 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
175 FAYETTE Julien 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
176 TANG Charles 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
177 LAUB William 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
178 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2%
179 JAIN Aniket 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
180 YAN Kevin 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
181 ONG Chinli 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
182 LUHAN Zachary 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
183 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
184 KERCHER Alexander 100% 94% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
185 KANG Evan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
186 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
187 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
187 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
189 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
189 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
189 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
192 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
192 HWANG Jayden 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
194 GOLD Carter 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
195 HO Jacob 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
196 NIETO Titus P. 100% 91% 58% 20% 4% - -
196 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 99% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
198 XIA Eric 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% - -
199 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
200 TUNG Ryan 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
200 FOX Gavin 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% - -
202 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
203 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 15% 1% - - - -
204 WANG Yifan 100% 32% 4% - - - -
205 SHETTY VIVAN 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
206 MONTALVO Emmeric 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
207 SAVOY Luca 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1%
208 FLITSANOV Macabee 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
209 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
210 TSAO Oliver 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
211 GUO Ethan 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
212 HENDERSON Jack 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
213 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
214 HUNG Samuel 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
214 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
214 SINGER Marcus 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
214 RODGERS Jacob 100% 33% 5% - - - -
218 BARROWS Hunter 100% 37% 6% - - - -
219 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.