Minneapolis, MN, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ZUCKER Noah L. | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 2 | ELDARAWANI Yasser M. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 3 | BARTLETT Jonathan R. | V V V D V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | LICHTEN Keith H. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 5 | MAKMATOV Vadim | D V V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 6 | CHENG Thomas | V V V D V D | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 7 | ROSTAL Scott E. | D D V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 8 | MACZIK Adam W. | V V D V D D | V V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 9 | SPRINGER Michael | D V D D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 10 | ALLEN Graham | V D D V D V | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 11 | YAO Shun | V D D V D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 12 | GERSEN Jacob | D D V V D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 13 | IORIO Matthew | D D V D D V | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 14 | RHEA Eric L. | V D D D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 15 | KIM Jeff | D D V D D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 16 | KUO Michael | D D D D V D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 17 | STOCK Jordan | D V V D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 18 | GAUVEY Ken C. | V V D V D D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 19 | HARRELL D. Fox | V D D V D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 20 | SANTOS Felipe | D V D V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 21 | HILLSTROM Nathan | V D D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 22 | LIN Kimball | D V D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 23 | OZANNE Jeffrey S. | D D V V D D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 24 | CHIZ Max H. | V D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 25 | KENT IV David | D D D D V | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 26 | FERRIERE Thomas | D V D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.