Minneapolis, MN, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 2 | BARREIRO Darren | D V V D V | V V V V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 3 | SNIDER Jeffrey H. | V V V D V | V V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 3 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | D V V V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 5 | GAINES Aaron | V D V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 6 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | V D V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 7 | EMARA Elsayed M. | D V D V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 8 | ROOD Alex | D V D V V | V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 9 | O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 10 | NORMILE Jon M. | V V V V V D | V D | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| 11 | EXUM Travis H. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 12 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | V V V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 13 | NIEMIEC Mark | V V D V V | V D | 1.2 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 14 | WHEELER Daniel | V V V V D | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 15 | WAY Kashi M. | D V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 16 | CRANOR Erich L. | V D V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 17 | NEMAZIE David A. | V V D V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 18 | HELGE James R. | V V D V V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 18 | KORSCHUN Daniel | D V V V V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 20 | COETZEE Frans M. | D V D V V V | D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 21 | BAILEY Creston P. | V V D V V D | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 22 | GILLHAM Timothy A. | V D D V V | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 23 | LOEFFLER Carl E. | V V D V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 24 | DEPOMMIER Remi | D V V D V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 25 | BECK Brian C. | V V D D D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 25 | FRANK Fred | V D D D V | V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 25 | WILLIAMS Richard | V D V D D | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 28 | STEWART Robert | D D V D D V | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 29 | KAUFMAN Joel H. | V D D D D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 30 | ELTERMAN Lev | D D V D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 31 | REID Michael | D D V D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 32 | THOMAS Jr. Robert D. | V D D D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 33 | DALRYMPLE Sr. Ronald W. | D V V D D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 34 | DAVIS Andrew | D D D V V | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 35 | LOGUE Paul | D D V V D D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 36 | CLINEFELTER Dennis S. | D D V D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 37 | SCHICKER Glenn | D V D D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 38 | SIMS Martin L. | D D D D V D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 39 | DUONG John | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 40 | KRYLTSOV Greg | D D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 41 | PARK Patrick | D D D D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| 42 | SCHIAVONE Oreste | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 43 | KUHN Jeffrey | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 44 | SCHARF David | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.