Event Results
USA Fencing National Championships & July ChallengeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ANDERSON Nathan T. | V V V D | V V V V | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 2 | CHENG Thomas | V V D V | V V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 3 | HABALA Peter | V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 3 | LEE David S. | D D V V | V V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 5 | MONES jesse | V V V V | D | 1.5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| 6 | BROWN Jason | V V D V | V D | 1.0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| 7 | RUSANOV Oleg | V D V D | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 8 | TOMASI John | D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 9 | LEE John K. | V D V D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 10 | ZHAO Zhiyong | D V V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 11 | BASS Nathan | D V V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 12 | KUO Chris C. | D V D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 13 | HOLCOMB Michael | D D D V | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 14 | GUERRERO Gonzalo | D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 15 | NELSON Kristofer | D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |