USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Foil

Thursday, July 7, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
2 ZHANG Eunice 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
3 KETTELLE Molly 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
5 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
6 LAMBERT Mahala 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 61%
7 LIU Sophia 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
8 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 9%
9 MEYER Claudia 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
10 LEE Allison 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
10 KO Claire 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
12 HWANG Alison 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
13 PARK Caitlyn 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
14 BHAN Zala 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
15 RAO Sonia D. 100% 100% 100% 94% 75% 39% 9%
16 MU Allison 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 7%
17 LIU Siyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
18 FUNG Vera 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
19 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
20 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
21 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 2%
22 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
23 OTEYZA Camille 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
24 QUINN Anna 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
25 UNGERER Frieda 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
26 COKER Bettina M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
27 DO Leila 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 5%
28 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 100% 92% 59% 16% 1%
29 ZHUANG Christina 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
30 MUSTO Isabella 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
31 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
32 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
33 ZHOU Catherine 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
34 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
35 SUH Kailey E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
36 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 99% 93% 75% 44% 16% 2%
37 VOHRA Anusha 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
37 PARK Leah 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
39 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
40 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
41 BASSIK Eva 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
42 LEVY Avery 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2%
43 MICHAELSEN Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
44 CHEN Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
45 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
46 SUN Emily 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
47 LIN Victoria T. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
48 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
49 SULTER Aurelie 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
50 TOBIN Brean 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 12% 1%
51 NUNLEY Victoria 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
51 SETHRE Traci 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
53 BAWA Sahana 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
54 FELLMAN Sara 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
55 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
56 WEI Angela 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
57 YANICELLI Sloane 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
58 LI Eleanor 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
59 WILBERT Gwendolyn (Gwen) A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
60 WANG Celine S. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
61 LEE emily 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
62 SCARLETT Skye 100% 98% 77% 38% 10% 1%
63 SHUM Elizabeth 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
64 KUNDU TRISHA 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
65 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
66 HSIUNG Samantha 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
67 MORALES Paulina 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
68 LONG Madeline M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 19%
69 HERNANDEZ Melany 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
70 CABALU Alaina 100% 98% 74% 28% 4% -
71 HAN Katherine 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5% -
72 GANDLURI Sreehitha (Sarah) 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
73 VAYNBERG Ellen 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
74 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7%
75 VELAZQUEZ Rosa T. 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 19% 3%
76 FULIGNI Isabella 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
77 NIRGUDE Siddhi 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
78 CHAKRAPANI Ila 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
79 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 93% 53% 13% 1% -
79 NEWMAN Ariel 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
81 LANDMAN Charlotte 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
82 NORTH Zoe M. 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% -
83 BRUSH Sydney 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
84 SA Milla 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
85 ROMERO Sophia 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
86 ROLOFF Katarina M. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
87 ROHRING Anna 100% 100% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
87 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 98% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
89 LIU Lucy 100% 70% 21% 3% - - -
90 STONE Colleen R. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
91 DEMOSS Mercedes 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
92 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
93 YIM Rachael 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
94 SHELARE Mehal 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
95 MURDOCH ROY Grace 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
96 ZHENG Zoe 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
97 PAULUS Isabella 100% 99% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
98 CHENG Isa 100% 31% 2% - - - -
98 MCLAURIN Semini 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
100 NELSON Gwendolyn H. 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
100 YOUNG Abigail 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
102 ZHAO Aimee 100% 67% 19% 3% - - -
103 OWINGS Anna 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% - -
104 JOHNSON Maya 100% 98% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
105 KLINE Rachel 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
106 WANG Kelsey 100% 21% 1% - - - -
107 DURR Strahlia Devi 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
108 TOMASI Samantha 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
109 KAPOOR Saanvi 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
110 DOBRINEN Elizabeth 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
111 BABB Cicely 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
112 BURTON Sequoia 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
113 MADSEN Lindsey 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
114 BROCE Lilianna 100% 31% 3% - - -
115 HOLCOMB Emily 100% 16% 1% - - - -
116 PAULSEN Amy 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
116 GADIYARAM Sushama 100% 32% 4% - - -
118 LEMASTERS Elise M. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
119 WIDMANN Ceili 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
119 UNGLAUB Emma 100% 95% 61% 21% 4% - -
119 CRANFILL Madison 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
122 SAUCEDO Fernanda 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.