USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Women's Épée

Thursday, July 7, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KORFONTA Jolie - - - - 1% 17% 81%
2 YAO Melinda - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
3 SPRINGER Sierra - - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
5 FENG ge - - - 3% 16% 43% 39%
6 ZIGALO Elizabeth - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
7 ZHANG Victoria R. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
8 RANDLEMAN Teresa - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
9 WITTER Catherine A. - - - - 6% 41% 52%
10 LIN Elaine - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
11 GAJJALA Sharika R. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
12 SENYUVA Su - - 1% 10% 31% 42% 15%
13 PROFIS Liora - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
14 LEE Olivia - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
15 SMUK Alexandra S. - - - 2% 17% 54% 27%
16 KIM Jayna - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
17 NGUYEN Tallulah - - - - 4% 26% 69%
17 GUJJA Misha - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
19 YU Nicole J. - - - 2% 14% 43% 40%
20 WANG Ziqi - - 1% 8% 27% 44% 20%
21 BECKMAN Ana - - 1% 9% 30% 44% 16%
22 YANG Alisa - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
23 ELSTON Sophia - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
24 SHIV Avni - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
25 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
26 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 17%
27 KUMAR Anusha - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8% -
28 LEE Natasha - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
29 SWENSON Nikita G. - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
30 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. - - 2% 10% 32% 41% 15%
31 CARRIER Meredith 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3% -
32 LEE Lavender - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
33 KIM Zoe L. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
34 MUN Brianna K. - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
35 HAFEEZ Hania - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
36 BARG Daniella - - 5% 20% 39% 29% 7%
37 CAFASSO Natalya - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
38 CANNING Charlotte - 2% 10% 27% 37% 22% 3%
38 XU Katelyn - - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
40 XIONG Angelica - 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
41 FURMAN Maria - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
42 LEE Claire - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
43 SHARMA Sanvi - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
44 SMOTRITSKY Liat 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% < 1% -
45 MUELLER Emma M. - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
46 WATTANAKIT Anda - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
47 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
48 BEAVER Ava - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
49 KUMAR Eva - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 5%
50 LEE REGINA - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
50 YOU Emily - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
52 BARG Margaret - 1% 13% 38% 34% 12% 1%
53 POTAPENKO Margarita D. - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
54 CHANG Ella - 1% 8% 25% 38% 25% 4%
55 BHATT Anisha 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 2% -
55 SONG Angela - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
57 LIU Nicole - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
58 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
59 JAKEL Alysa C. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
60 WANG Angelina - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 1%
61 YIN Gabriela 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
62 STERR Isabella M. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
63 HAYNES Antonia - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13% 1%
64 WANG Jessie 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
65 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
66 BUSH Emma - - 1% 6% 28% 44% 21%
67 PECK Maia A. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
68 PINNAMANENI Drithi - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 9%
69 LI Fei - - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
70 NGUYEN Ashley L. - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
71 MALLAVARPU saanvi - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
72 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6% -
73 PRESMAN Aerin - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
74 DEPOMMIER Isabelle - 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
75 MIINEA Elena - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
76 DOUGLAS Marketa F. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
77 ZHU Serene M. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
78 CHIRASHNYA Mika 6% 30% 44% 18% 3% - -
79 GUO Luxi - 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
80 NIX Reagan - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 1%
81 CHOI Grace - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
82 MISHIMA Audrey 8% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
82 JUN Bomie 5% 27% 42% 21% 4% - -
84 LEE Camilla - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
85 PULLEN Ayah 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
86 HSIU Elizabeth 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
87 SHU Youshan - - 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
88 PAN Angela 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
88 GUAN Isabella - 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
88 WANG Ziqiao 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
91 GEVA Eliana 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
91 BARBARA Camille - - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
93 PATIL Amulya - 1% 6% 23% 40% 25% 5%
93 ZHAO Alina 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
95 YILMAZ Pinar 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
96 ENRILE Erica - 3% 16% 38% 32% 10% 1%
96 FREEMAN Kate 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
98 NAIR Supriya - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 2%
99 TYTELL Elizabeth 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
100 WONG Caitlin 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
101 VICKERMAN Aspen 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
102 WANG Sara 1% 9% 40% 37% 11% 1% -
103 VICKERMAN Sofia 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
104 MCKENNA Analise 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
105 MIRZA Annoshae 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
106 YOU Isabel B. - 1% 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
107 NELSON Grace E. 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
108 PYE Emily 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
109 LY Hannah 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
110 WANG Victoria 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
111 VAN VACTER Madelynn 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
112 LIN Ariel 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
113 DONGES Anna 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
114 KWON Genevie 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
115 STOMMEL-DIAZ Charly - 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
116 CHUNG Penelope 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
117 NGUYEN Jolie T. - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
117 CHANG Abigail 2% 18% 38% 31% 11% 1% -
119 RICHARDSON Meredith - 7% 30% 40% 18% 3% -
120 MENDOZA zoie 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
121 LIANG Jingjing 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
122 REKEDA Anna 1% 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
122 BROWN Riley 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
124 NGUYEN Ella 19% 44% 30% 7% 1% - -
125 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
126 MYRAH Vivienne 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
127 PHUKAN Indra 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
128 SHEN Yongen 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
129 READ Lyla 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1%
130 AGAON Evelyn 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 6% 1%
131 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
132 HOY Emmarose 9% 37% 38% 14% 2% - -
132 IYER Ishana - 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% -
134 SCHMITT Harper 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
135 LEWIS Rachel 1% 7% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
136 CHUANG Ramona 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
137 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
138 TANG Elaine 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
139 BEATIE Isabella M. 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
139 ZHUANG Lauren 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
141 NEFF Saya 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
142 SCANLAN Claire 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
143 WANG Sijia 52% 41% 7% - - - -
144 MARTIN Adriana 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
145 CAMAMA Tessa 3% 21% 38% 29% 8% 1%
146 FLITMAN Gabrielle 41% 41% 15% 2% - -
147 LISCUM Vivian 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
148 FRAGER Soleil 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
149 WRIGHT Madison 8% 34% 41% 15% 2% - -
150 GAAFAR Jana 27% 50% 20% 3% - - -
151 HASIM Eurietta 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
152 MCQUEEN Morgan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
153 MATHEW Noe 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
154 TSUI Zoe 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 1% -
155 MARTINEZ Christina 24% 47% 25% 4% - - -
156 MONOVA Lilyana 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
157 MEYER Rebecca 5% 27% 41% 21% 5% - -
158 FIGUEROA Mariah 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
158 GUSKA Jenn 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
160 JOSHI Aanika 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
161 WALTER Anna 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
162 PATTERSON Liliya 32% 45% 20% 3% - - -
163 HALE Avery 39% 45% 14% 2% - - -
164 LEEDER Elizabeth - 1% 10% 32% 38% 16% 2%
164 WANG Zoe 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
166 CASHMAN Amanda 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
167 BLANCO Ariia 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
167 LIANG Angela 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
169 HU Chloe 25% 47% 23% 5% - - -
170 JONES Veronica C. 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
171 CUEVA Viola 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
172 FOUX Abigail 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
173 MOLLINIER Anais 6% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
174 BOGDANOVSKAYA Elizaveta 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
175 SATO Elyse 75% 23% 3% - - -
176 ABDELWARETH zeina 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
177 MURPHY Katherine 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
177 KALGAONKAR Arohi 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
179 VARAN Kateryna 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
180 DU Siqi 88% 12% 1% - - - -
181 DOERR Alea 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -
182 KHAZANCHI Raeha 68% 28% 4% - - - -
182 DAVIS Jennifer 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
184 XU Celina 10% 42% 34% 11% 2% - -
184 PARK elli 16% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
186 FORDER Isabel 35% 46% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.