USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Women's Saber

Thursday, July 7, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORMAN Victoria M. - - 6% 25% 45% 23%
2 JUNG Irene 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
3 OISHI Megumi - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 FEARNS Zara A. - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
5 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
6 LI Victoria J. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
7 HILD Nisha - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
8 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
9 YODER Bridget H. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
10 BILILIES Sophia 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
11 XI Shining - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
12 GHOSH Priyanka - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
13 SADIK HANA - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
14 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
15 GRAFF Sophie - 11% 35% 38% 14% 2%
16 DRAGON Rainer - 1% 5% 16% 32% 33% 14%
17 LIN Audrey J. - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
18 SATHYANATH Kailing - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
19 SPRINGER Ella 1% 12% 30% 33% 19% 5% -
20 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
21 HE Charlotte - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
22 BUHAY Rachel T. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
23 TONG Jessie 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
24 JEONG Katie 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
25 ANDRES Katherine A. - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
26 NATH Trisha 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
27 NI Sharon 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
28 FANG Victoria W. - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
29 HUNG Anna 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
30 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
31 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
32 COLTER Aurora 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
33 ENDO Miyuki N. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
34 LUKASHENKO Angelina 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
35 BENOIT Adelaide L. 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
36 ERIKSON Kira R. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
37 CHOWDHURY Ranlyn 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
38 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
39 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
40 ZENG Megan 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
41 KRASTEV Minna - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
42 NGUYEN Siena 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
43 XIKES Katherine E. 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
44 YANG Angelina LeLe 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 2%
44 DAVIS Charlotte 35% 42% 18% 4% - -
46 JEAN Olympe G. 1% 17% 40% 32% 9% 1%
47 SUN Alyssa 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
48 LIN Nicole 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
49 YANG Lea 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
50 CHIN Elise 2% 26% 43% 24% 5% -
51 LUKER Sophia 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
52 MACE Eliza M. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
53 LIM Jaslene 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
54 DENG Brooke 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
55 EVANS Madelynn 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
56 BARNOVITZ Maya 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
57 NOVICK Mia J. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
58 CARLUCCI Laura A. 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% -
59 DAVIS Jayna M. 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
59 YERRAMILLI Kavya 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
61 YUAN Greta 1% 7% 27% 39% 23% 3%
62 ARNECKE Lauren A. 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
63 ROBINSON Stella 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
64 LEE Sophia 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
65 MULAGARI Sadhika 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
66 BALAKUMARAN Maya 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
67 GRULICH Rayaana 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
68 LIM Jovine 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
69 FAN Grace 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
70 BARRIE Sadie Q. 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
71 SCOTT Eve 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
72 RODGERS Rachel 83% 16% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.