USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Women's Saber

Thursday, July 7, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
2 JUNG Irene 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
3 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
5 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 7%
6 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
7 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
8 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
9 YODER Bridget H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
10 BILILIES Sophia 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
11 XI Shining 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
12 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
13 SADIK HANA 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
14 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
15 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 89% 54% 16% 2%
16 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
17 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
18 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
19 SPRINGER Ella 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
20 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
21 HE Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
22 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
23 TONG Jessie 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
24 JEONG Katie 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
25 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
26 NATH Trisha 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
27 NI Sharon 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
28 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
29 HUNG Anna 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
30 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 100% 96% 79% 49% 18% 3%
31 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
32 COLTER Aurora 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
33 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
34 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 5%
35 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
36 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
37 CHOWDHURY Ranlyn 100% 93% 63% 25% 4% -
38 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
39 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
40 ZENG Megan 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% 1% -
41 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
42 NGUYEN Siena 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
43 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
44 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
44 DAVIS Charlotte 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
46 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 99% 82% 42% 10% 1%
47 SUN Alyssa 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
48 LIN Nicole 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
49 YANG Lea 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
50 CHIN Elise 100% 98% 72% 29% 5% -
51 LUKER Sophia 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
52 MACE Eliza M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
53 LIM Jaslene 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
54 DENG Brooke 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
55 EVANS Madelynn 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
56 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
57 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
58 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
59 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
59 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
61 YUAN Greta 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
62 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
63 ROBINSON Stella 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
64 LEE Sophia 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
65 MULAGARI Sadhika 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% - -
66 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
67 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
68 LIM Jovine 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
69 FAN Grace 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
70 BARRIE Sadie Q. 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
71 SCOTT Eve 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
72 RODGERS Rachel 100% 17% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.